THE DIVIDING LINE ACROSS THE WORLD BIDEN SOUGHT IS ALMOST IN PLACE

To survive its inevitable decline, to shore up its present level of influence and its ability to dominate others it has held for so long now, Biden, the figurehead at the top of the western elite superstructure decided it was in the interests of the West to split our world.

This was a purely self-regarding decision based upon narrow nationalism, economic interests and the continuation of its power-politics advantage, not for the reasons given regarding freedom, democracy, an adherence to a 'rules-based system' or 'liberal western values'.

Now we see this desire to create a barrier to Eurasia and a permanent limit to its economic rise and increase to its influence coming to fruition through the use of every weapon available to the western powers. By conditioning its population and by increasing degrees its corporations a western iron curtain is being erected against Eurasia and all that it stands for, its ability to ameliorate western warmongering and even its ability to communicate its concerns and views. (It appears certain for instance that Russia Today (RT) will find itself banned from an increasing number of western nations now as a result of the western framing of events in south-eastern Ukraine.)

It was clear after Biden was declared the victor in the 2020 U.S. presidential election from various sources that the geopolitical goal of the new administration was to unite all American allies in one cohesive grouping and ensure that all stood resolutely for NATO and against both Russia and China. Currently Russia is the main focus and target of the collective spearhead of all western political and media elites. China remains the prime target however and will be concentrated on fully and with extreme vigour when and if Russia can be subjugated, weakened, neutralised, its leader ousted and its system of governance replaced.

We can currently see a permanently divided world now emerging before our very eyes. Previous virulent memes carefully constructed to demonise Putin through endless repetition will now be raised to new levels, though previous levels were at an extreme height already.

Western elites have been running scared for decades now. They have watched as their power has fallen from previous heights and it is certain that the reports they have received from their analysts and many think-tanks have made baleful reading for them regarding the rise of powers that would inevitably eclipse their power if nothing was done.

The present situation and all the dangers, potential for loss of life, destruction of livelihoods and the extreme dangers to everyone not among the elite class is clear. It is all too reminiscent of what was once called 'The Great Game' where western powers sought to maintain their influence and dominance over nations such as Russia in historical eras not too far distant from our own.

The elites of the western world in combination, political, press & media, corporate and military, saw that their reliance on earlier areas of superiority were not going to be available to them as they had been so lucratively in the past. In combination they now seek to at least hold the remaining power still left them, to limit to as high degree as they are able the economic rise and subsequent increase in influence of others and to embroil their targets in as much instability and controversy as possible.

To accomplish all of the above an obvious and easily understood dividing line across the world was required. The simpler to explain this dividing line the better. As with all such tactical options to shore up power and increase it, the believable reason for it had to be communicated in a stark contrast between good and evil. On one side was 'The Free World', a phrase I predicted as Biden was elected would come back into frequent use. The western side is of course depicted as devoted to a 'Rules Based Order' with the other side having whatever might be the opposite of this. 'Liberal Western Values' are contrasted with the inferior and dangerous for freedom, authoritarian values. West Good. East Bad. Biden Right. Putin Wrong.' Simple and easy to understand and ultimately to be broadened to frame the USA and all its allies, UK et al on one side and Russia & China and all those who align with them on the other.

Leading to? Leading of course to a war. Not a hot war. But a new Cold War, what I have named an 'Ice Cold War' as it will have none of the very real diplomacy that was a feature of the original Cold War.

A world permanently divided unless one side or the other rises to be the most prominent by far at which point a new geopolitical environment will come into being. If the USA and its allies ultimately win out I foresee us living in a de facto prison planet, scrutinized, surveilled and supervised in each and every relationship we make, with a Big Brother USA always on the lookout for "dangerous influences" and "potential threats". If Eurasia rises and overcomes the barriers the western world is putting in its way we can, in my opinion, look forward to a world where tolerance for diverse forms of governance exists alongside an agreement-based matrix of international relations that promotes peace rather than war at every level, a truly multipolar world where humanity sees the prospect and potential for true global harmony for the first time ever.

The world again will become one. But which version of the two above will future generations live to see?

 

UKRAINE, RUSSIA, CHINA, USA, EUROPE & A TIME OF GREATLY ENHANCED CLARITY

We are approaching a time of enhanced clarity. This may appear counter-intuitive in this moment of western elite furore where accusations against Putin and Russia are flying by the hour.

Yet this is an integral part of the clarification process where two distinct and widely divergent approaches to living on this planet become precisely defined.

Up to this point in time there has been a degree of to and fro between these sides where some agreement, albeit sketchy and quite unreliable at times, was achieved. The elites of the western world over the last ten to twenty years were not happy to leave the situation as is however, but quite clearly wished to push their vision for the world and enforce it on all others. This is essentially what has brought us to this moment.

Having applied the maximum possible patience for the last 15 years toward a western world seeking to enforce its domination on nations including but not exclusive to Russia, Vladimir Putin reached an impasse around which he could not steer Russia. This impasse was the coup on Kiev's Maidan in the winter of 2013-14 and all that followed up to and including the most recent violent provocations perpetrated by the Kiev regime.

His action on the 21st of February to acknowledge the sovereign status of the Donetsk Peoples Republic and Lugansk Peoples Republic and the upgraded relationship between them and Russia has finally established the defining border between one form of geopolitical approach and another, i.e. in general terms, between that of Eurasia and the western world.

The battle lines, so to speak, have now been formed without the ambiguity that went before. Western elite media and political spheres are naturally continuing the approach of before regarding Putin and the Russian form of governance and ramping up their rhetoric to what appears inevitably to reach new heights amounting to what John Pilger has called the return of raw propaganda. The dividing line between these systems is set then to become extremely well defined in the most strident of terms, at least in regard to that emanating from and within the western world.

How will this sharpening of the dividing lines between east and west be felt in economic and geopolitical terms? I would suggest that it will create an even greater rise in Russia's eastward expansion in terms of trade and alliances. In terms of Europe Russia will continue to do business there but in partial terms the present campaign of western elites is aimed precisely to reduce this. With the closure of NordStream 2 before it is even opened Russia will lose a significant amount of potential income for a year or so until the completion of the second major pipeline to China from Siberia presently under construction, 'The Power of Siberia 2'.

Events in Ukraine will have some knock on effects regarding Russia's trade with Europe, that is clear. However, most sanctions have been tried already and have failed to make a significant dent in the Russian economy. Taking Russia out of the SWIFT system of financial transfers has apparently been thought better of and rehashing sanctions on Russian banks is unlikely to create significant damage to Russia. Denying Russian banks the ability to convert rubles to dollars will mean they will simply convert to euros instead. It is hard to see what other powerful sanctions can be applied. Cultural exchange limitations and sanctions on more Russian individuals are unlikely to make the difference perhaps claimed for them.

As regards the geopolitical picture the situation in Ukraine appears to be solidifying Russia's resolve and that of Russians against the clear and constant pressure, including military pressure via NATO from the western elites. China will remain Russia's most stalwart ally, the most powerful state globally after the USA and destined to eclipse the USA in most respects before long. China and Russia together, in this time of enhanced clarity will certainly press on with their allies toward the multipolar world that many see as the ideal geopolitical system for our planet.

The USA, the UK and Europe without sufficient gas for its needs, appear destined to become increasingly weak in economic terms, social cohesion and global influence. In the face of a largely unified Russia and China and their allies the West appears to be heading for tough times indeed and this is, I am sure, one reason why it is being so relentlessly aggressive now.

The clarity of the times to come will scare many on both sides of the divide. No sane person wants war or the threat of war and the thought that war may erupt at any time is a frightening prospect indeed. I believe however that no side in this new divided world wishes or intends for war to feature to any degree at all. What will certainly continue unless one side wins the war of words and economic prowess or one side gives up trying in defeat, is that rhetoric and economic weapons will be more to the fore than ever.

Those who have been following events in Ukraine all along and in the geopolitical scene in the wider world on as deep a level as they can, and thus gaining insight and predictive opportunities will remain calm however. The great trading nations of this world will never relish war close to home, no matter how heightened the rhetorical atmosphere may be between nations and no matter how many benefits may accrue to their military industrial complexes, no matter how important these latter may be to their economies. The fight for survival of one view of how our world should be and the other will remain a war of words and diverse financial means.

We can remain assured that the fighting will not spread from the Donbass if the great powers have anything to do with it. Undoubtedly the West will do all it can to punish Russia for what it sees as an abuse of its power but which many others will see as fully justified. The situation will be a frantic one in the short term with far more heat than light within it but I am confident that what will ultimately emerge is a far more defined position of both power blocks, east and west and ultimately the rise of Eurasia eclipsing the belligerent, exceptionalist era of the West and its diminished power leading to a fully multipolar world.

 

WESTERN ELITES, THE DEATH OF ALL HONESTY & THE CREATION OF A PRISON PLANET

There is no longer any upholding of principles regarding integrity within the ranks of the West's various elites. They conceive their continual dishonesty and deceit is justified due to their being at war.

"What war is that?", some may ask, those who pay scant attention to anything but the most banal of news items and reading matter.

It is a war that is hard to miss for those with eyes to see and ears to hear however. And it is a world war, not some local skirmish. It is the war being waged by western elites to maintain their power of influence over the world. It is a war made infinitely worse, or at least perpetual due to the desired end goal, engendered by 9/11.

The goal is complete domination of all potential or actual sources of insecurity regarding their power and its maintenance. This is a goal that can be described in many ways using many phrases. It requires 'full spectrum dominance' by 'The West (to use shorthand to describe all the elites involved within the political, media and military fields). It demands submission by all possible entities to western demands. It needs the absolute security of complete oversight and manipulative access and control. Ultimately it requires a prison planet where no danger of any kind is or will ever be allowed to exist which could endanger the USA (and extremely secondarily, its allies).

To engender, foster and establish the ambition described above no weapon is being omitted from the West's arsenal. Every weapon ever used to subvert, undermine, weaken, destroy and eliminate an enemy is being deployed, and has been deployed for over a decade now. The end goal is of such overwhelming importance to each of the elites named that a uniform willingness to use even the dirtiest and most unprincipled weapons at their disposal are in constant use.

Torture, kidnap (rendition), mass slaughter (invasion/proactive intervention) and a host of activist-enabled propaganda programs, black and psychological operations, the prostitution of all western mainstream journalism and the creation of a vacuum chamber of lies within the West has been knowingly promulgated and constantly expanded with no limits required or sought for regarding frequency of use, strength of application or damage caused. All are simply expedient methodologies found necessary to achieve the goal of a prison planet in the service of U.S. security.

So the saying goes, 'Truth is the first casualty of war'. And with the requirement for truth goes every requirement for obeying the agreed norms of warfare. Thus we have the entire western elite edifice currently. In total war mode nothing is allowed to be left to chance. Entire populations of the West must be fed the required narratives and must hear only the approved talking points. No 'other side' of any issue or event which contradicts, rebuts or even allows for questioning of state-required views, opinions or statements can be allowed to be given credence but must be treated with complete scepticism, howled down and portrayed as the evil tactics of the constant and absolutely evil enemy.

No past willingness to see all sides of any picture is to be contemplated while the war continues and even the remotest possibility of defeat remains. Total loyalty and obedience is required and any refusal to submit to the strictures involved will bring punishment in their wake where it is considered popular appeal could result. Objectivity disappears in such an atmosphere where prominent sources are identified and cancelled as a matter of routine. Even those who continue to seek it are cowed into silence biding their time, hoping for better days. Others, produce the materials for the war effort they know will guarantee them professional safety. Silence for them is their most effective protection and that of all those who depend upon the continued receipt of their salaries.

The entire elite superstructure of the western world has been honed to this dysfunctional shape of draconian insistence on the 'right viewpoint', the 'correct approach' and the helpful weaponising of speech and the written word. The vacuum chamber of truth in relation to Ukraine is the current most obvious example of just how far the rot within the western world regarding truth-telling has gone. The killing field of silence, with the first two deaths just reported in the Lugansk region, will be continued with even more rigour than it has been for the previous eight years in south-eastern Ukraine. Countless atrocities went unreported in the West, no pleas for mercy were heard, no reports of any kind from the villages, towns and cities under fire from the Ukrainian army, its associated militias, militants and mercenaries were heard.

The latest censorship of all war crimes now being perpetrated by the forces named above is total. Meanwhile the truth is turned on its head with claims of Russian wrongdoing, provocations and any number of negative claims that can be dredged up from the minds in control of information from the front line in this war. The degradation of all principles regarding the communication of facts in anything approaching honesty has been totally and absolutely abandoned in the furtherance of the ultimate goal of creating the de facto prison planet described above.

It represents nothing less than the death of all honesty of the entire cabal of western elites in the furtherance of their goal, a de facto prison planet they alone dominate and control.

 

 

THE MANUFACTURED CRISIS OF RUSSIAN TROOPS MASSING ON UKRAINE'S BORDER

 

The recent and ongoing "crisis" of Russian troops massing on (in fact 200 kilometres away from) the Ukraine border is a manifestation of group-thought.

An elite group has become over-invested in the need for a group representing an anti-version of itself and speaks to this manufactured creation rather than to the realities of the situation.

There was a set of needs felt by one (combined and seamless) group of political elites in the United States and United kingdom which manifested itself in the creation of one of the most exaggerated campaigns of misinformation ever seen in modern times. 

Due to the disposition of Russian and Belarusian troops and materiel during a planned joint military exercise certain bells went off across and within the minds of certain individuals within power nodes of the US/UK grouping. These reflected the notions within the group-thought fixed universe of stimuli associated with the anti-group in question, 'The Russians'.

A unit highly favoured for reasons connected to the perceived survival and if possible expansion of group A (USA and UK) happened to be Ukraine, closely located to the perceived "danger" of Group B (Russia and Belarus). This stimulated the manufacture by contagion of the massive campaign of erroneous and unwarranted fear we have seen recently and which continues to reverberate.

From the Ukraine side we have seen a somewhat confused response to the apparently surprising (to them) eruption of this sudden mix of paranoia, panic and propaganda. Group A is manifesting the results of sensing itself vulnerable, in a state of incipient weakness and over inclined to react with emotions and actions that extend far beyond those rational or necessary. These aberrant reactions of Group A has clearly bemused the political authority figures within Ukraine and caused them to release conflicting statements, among them that they see no great need for the reactions they are hearing from Group A.

While expressing a degree of confusion, indicating a high degree of being kept outside 'the loop' in respect of the geopolitical tactics involved, the Ukrainian authority figures have been playing catch-up by attempting to configure responses that support their own previously expressed memes concerning Group B. This has served to muddy the waters of the entire enterprise and the clearly much desired, highly effective campaign by Group A

While all this has gone on Group B have surely been in a state of some confusion also in respect of how precisely to react to this eruption of strident messages of alarm from Group A and their perception of the confusion within the political leadership of Ukraine. This degree to which this confusion arose of course depends upon the intentions behind the joint military exercises the Russians had in bringing them into existence. From an evidential perspective there is no clear reason to believe the intent is or was that expressed by Group A, to threaten Ukraine with attack or invasion.

If Russia wished to occupy part of or the entirety of Ukraine it surely simply would do so rather than merely threaten to. It has the capacity, the manpower, the technical expertise and the military infrastructure, why merely threaten to do so? The possible answer in this context is of course to obtain some identified advantage and promotion of a desired outcome that it was perceived was unavailable by any other means. In this case the reduction of the power and presence of NATO close to Russia's borders and the exclusion of Ukraine (and Georgia) from membership in NATO.

As described above, attacking and occupying part of or the entirety of Ukraine could be accomplished by Russia if that was seen as forwarding the desired outcomes of Russia. But this scenario has not occurred. Russian troops remaining relatively stationary in their positions has been seen to be the case. This indicates that the second scenario of exerted pressure to obtain a desired outcome is at play rather than the first scenario as a build up leading to the fulfilment of the intent to attack, invade and occupy part or all of Ukraine.

This is why I call this a manufactured crisis, one that mirrors to a large extent one seen some eight years ago when multiple headlines and statements from Group A politicians used the same words as now, the 'massing' of Russian troops 'on the Ukraine border'. This very similar if not identical campaign ran for many weeks in mid-2014, but resulted in no attack upon Ukraine or invasion of it. It is to be expected then that the present "crisis" will eventually fade and disappear also although the impetus this time from Group A I would posit indicates an increasing anxiety by it of the corroding position of their expectations of maintaining dominance overall. (An expectation which by the way the figures within Group A consider a vital and indispensable part of their group psychology.)

Thus we have a massive facade of crisis engendered, one that has reached farcical proportions in some facets of its singularly ardent and widespread promotion. An almost global phenomenon has been constructed by Group A with hesitant support from Ukraine, supposedly the central figure at the forefront of all this frenetic activity, panic, paranoia, massively engendered fear and controversy. Emotions have been heightened to almost heart-attack creating levels within the body politic of western elite institutions from the political sphere across the world of western mainstream press and media filtering down to a lesser but still potent degree to the general public and population of the western sphere of influence.

In conclusion I restate the logic inherent in the facts as they are known. Russia has the ability to do what it is accused of. If it had the overwhelming need to enact the scenario claimed by Group A it surely would have done so abd without the 'will they, won't they' scenario engendered by the anti-Russian campaign which arose in response to the actions Russia took in arranging its present troop dispositions and joint military exercises with Belarus. I therefore see no reason to conclude that it was any part of the Russian plan to attack and invade Ukraine but that other motivations entirely were involved. This is why I concluded that whether due to a perceived weakness on the part of group A, an awareness of a potential weakness to come or a mere stimulation of massive anxiety featuring both panic and paranoia due to fixation on the group-thought facade spoken of at the start of this commentary is not clear.

But in any event I conclude that this whole episode has been a crisis manufactured out of irrational/intentionally tactical motivations and does not in any real sense reflect a true crisis at all, except in the perceptions of those who feel endangered by the continuing resistance of Group B (Russia) to being dominated by Group A (USA and UK).

EUROPE AS LAND BASE AMERICA, WITH SLOVAKIA AS AIRSTRIP 1?

The current ruling elite of Slovakia, including its president, has acceded to the wish of the USA to have one or two airbases on Slovak soil.

 

This has incensed many Slovaks not included within the elite hierarchy.

Many of these elites have extensive connections to the USA going back decades. This has raised an issue out in the open that was maintained in a well-hidden state before the contract was signed to allow the airbase to go ahead.

There were many reasons why the ruling elite wished to keep their connections to the USA secret, most of them concerned these connections being private, grants given, training courses provided, even work for the Pentagon. Prior to this latest development neither the present government nor the main opposition had any reason to bring all this out into the open. Now however there certainly is.

The main opposition party, Smer ('Direction' in English) led by ex-premier Robert Fico is incensed that Slovak sovereignty has been massively reduced. Demonstrations at the parliament building in Bratislava, Slovakia's capital showed clearly that he was far from alone. A strong support for his position with a great many Slovak flags with a few Russian flags also in the crowd, showed this clearly along with the fiery speeches and patriotic songs played and sung.

This is no small matter, though it is being framed as such by the pro-EU, pro-USA liberal elite who managed to win power in the last parliamentary elections a few years ago. The same goes for Slovakia's pro-EU, pro-USA president. No one knows as yet what the majority opinion is yet across Slovakia, though Fico will organize a petition and he hopes to arrange a referendum on the issue also.

With everything else going on in regard to Russia and Ukraine and with a European press and media continually pressing the fear and threat buttons the Slovak population could be forgiven for thinking that they have good reason to want America's protection. You do have to wonder whether this is a complete coincidence and whether similar contracts across the ex-Warsaw Pact countries are being eased through in the context of the fear-based wall-to-wall, 24/7 mirroring of Washington's narratives on Russia and Ukraine right now. 

 

 

Why is the USA choosing this moment of high tension to persuade eastern Europe to arm up and open their doors to U.S. and NATO troops and weaponry? Just today we hear that the contract with Slovakia which the Slovaks were told was for ten years only has been signed up to for automatic extensions every ten years. Several of the Slovak government's members made a special journey to Washington this week especially so they could sign the document authorizing this.

The Slovak president appears to have also done some strange and somewhat underhand things in the speed with which she signed off after a relatively close vote on the contract in the Slovak parliament. The discussion was meant to continue to other fora but it appears that as soon as the document reached her hands it became signed moments later. This betokens an unseemly rush to many. A desperate need to acquiesce to U.S. demands appears to be the case. One wonders why.

The situation in Ukraine, next door to Slovakia continues to generate myriad headlines and TV discussions. The suspicion cannot be avoided that the airbase acquired by America in Slovakia is yet another chess piece move in the global "game" going on currently where Russia is more and more alluded to not as a rival or adversary but as an outright enemy.

How long can it be before there is a backlash from Slovaks and others for being put on the front line in a war they have little stake in outside of the unimaginable intention of Russia to conquer and occupy all of eastern Europe, the conspiracy theory that is quite prevalent but which is not given much credence by people living in the lands to the east of the great powers of Europe.

What benefit would Russia gain from armed attack upon and occupation of the ex-members of the Warsaw Pact? Putin and his colleagues surely cannot envisage the re-creation of the Soviet Union complete with its satellites. Anyone who has visited Moscow in recent years will not find anything akin to the ambiance of those earlier years. Moscow appears the very epitome of a European city now, as does St. Petersburg and many other cities across the Russian Federation.

Is it really imaginable that Putin and those around him want to end their lives enmeshed in a bloody series of conflicts, armed resistance, NATO attacks, endless sanctions that make those already in existence look puny indeed? Is that at all a realistic prospect? Surely not. Russia is carving a fine niche for itself with expanding trade, including with India and very much so with China. Russia still trades with all the nations of Europe. Why plunge itself and the entirety of Europe into endless war and discord. It makes no sense at all.

 

 

But someone wants the present threat of endless war, invasions and attacks. That someone wants discord on one side and unity on their side. A split world where the leader nation continues to have sway, gain ground, garner allies, make and win contracts and be able to twist arms at will. Of course this someone, this power, this nation is the USA and the prospects otherwise, with China on a perpetual rise don't look as rosy as they were in previous eras. The USA is looking at having progressively less influence, less power to manipulate, reducing reach, a dwindling economy and an ever rising national debt, now at over thirty trillion dollars. Wouldn't the someone we are talking about seek to corral what still exists and ensure sway over that domain?

And wouldn't that someone, power and nation want to create a network of bases across the land mass that was to be his and its fiefdom and domain to hold and to keep in the face of certain eclipse otherwise?

Pity poor Slovakia then. Governed by what Robert Fico has openly been calling traitors, men and women who clapped deliriously as they ceded Slovak sovereignty to a master thousands of kilometres distant apparently convinced (or pretending to be so) that big bad Russia is a good reason to crawl under the skirts of the Statue of Liberty no matter the consequences for the Slovak people and Slovak nation and all that is held dear in terms of national sovereignty, culture and identity...

All for the great guardians of the West, the good shepherds, albeit the vengeful destroyers of Iraq and numerous points east... grateful in supplication to be allowed to be its Airstrip 1 within the U.S. European land base.

DISENTANGLING THE UKRAINE WEB IN SIX SCENARIOS

To really get to grips with the complex patchwork of possibilities involved with the current Ukraine "crisis" you would really require a flowchart. But let's take things one stage at a time to see if this over-complicated scenario becomes a little clearer.

What are the elements in play?

Ukraine wants entry to NATO.
NATO agreed that Ukraine would join at some point in the indefinite future.
Russia absolutely refuses the possibility that Ukraine should ever join NATO.
Ukraine wants Crimea back.
Ukraine wants the Donbass region back.
Ukraine says it will not implement the Minsk Agreement to give the Donbass special status.
The USA is supporting Ukraine
The UK is supporting Ukraine.
The EU nations support Ukraine.
The USA is creating bases across the EU.
Russia has demanded that NATO withdraw its forces back to the positions they held in the Nineties.
Ukraine wants the NordStream 2 pipeline never to open.
The USA wants the NordStream 2 pipeline never to open.
Germany needs the NordStream 2 pipeline to open so it can close its Nuclear Stations and Coal fields.
France, Italy and the rest of the EU need the NordStream 2 pipeline to open otherwise they run short of gas.
Russia and Belarus are conducting joint military exercises currently.
Belarus has a route to Kiev without needing to cross the Dnieper River.
Russia to reach Kiev by vehicular traffic would have a very long journey.
The USA says the troop placements of Russia and Belarusian indicate an invasion is imminent.
Ukraine says the troop placements of Russia are nothing new and Russia has a right to place its troops where it wishes within its borders.

SCENARIO #1

Kiev initiates a significant attack on the autonomy-seeking republics of the Donbass.
Russia feels it cannot stand back and watch the carnage that it perceives is about to ensue.
Russia makes a limited incursion to persuade Ukrainian troops/militias to withdraw.
Russia withdraws issuing a statement that any further attacks by Kiev will be met with the same response.
The world's politicians and media linked to western states all cry foul simultaneously with the cry 'Russia Invaded Ukraine Again!'
A raft of economic sanctions are initiated targeting Russian banks, individuals and various economic, political and cultural institutions.
All western politicians put immense pressure on Germany to close the NordStream 2 project forever.

SCENARIO #2

Kiev mounts no special attack on the Donbass republics but continues the usual tactics with nothing out of the ordinary from the usual.
Russia maintains its troops exactly where they are not adding or subtracting from their number.
The politicians and mainstream media of the West quieten down and the meme of an imminent 'Russian Invasion' slowly fades and eventually disappears.
Germany certifies NordStream 2 as good to go in mid-Summer.
Germany and France along with Italy pursue a route to restored relations with Russia and talks begin in earnest to put together a new security architecture for Europe with Russia very much included.
NATO remains silent on whether Ukraine will be accepted or not, maintaining an unchanged stance in other words.
Germany and France begin to exert real pressure for the first time on Kiev to implement its Minsk promises.

SCENARIO #3

Russia, having given up all hope of persuading Ukraine and NATO that they should give up their association and finding no positive response to its need for security at its border, initiates a limited military action to secure the Donbass region.
The entire world throws up its hands in shock, horror and the strongest possible criticism of Russia.
Massive sanctions are applied at all possible levels in an attempt to punish Russia and make it withdraw from Ukraine.
NordStream 2 is immediately cancelled by Germany stating it will never operate as long as Russia occupies the Donbass.
Russia responds to this and the sanctions applied by the EU along with all other western partners as acts of war and immediately halts all supply of natural gas to Europe and diverts it instead to China.
China makes a statement of full support for Russia.
Russia and China sign a formal declaration as a military alliance where an attack on one is an attack on the other and this is made retrospective to include the attacks just initiated by the western allies.

SCENARIO #4

No significant attack is made by Ukraine on the Donbass republics.
Russia makes no attack upon or invasion of Ukraine.
However, the political and media campaigns to keep the fear level of a 'Russian Invasion' continues and is heightened by false flag events or other means.
The USA maintains that the continued threat of a Russian invasion means Ukraine MUST be allowed to join NATO as a matter of urgency owing to the constant, persistent and growing threat to Ukraine by the presence of Russian and Belarusian troops on Ukraine's borders.
Ukraine is accepted into NATO.
Ukraine within weeks attacks either the Donbass republics or Crimea, perhaps with massive support from NATO.
Russia responds with the full force of its military.
The Ukraine forces are decimated and within their number a few NATO troops also lose their lives.
I. NATO backs off and negotiations come to a peace deal.
Ii. NATO doubles down on its actions against all Russian positions and troop formations.
ia. A frozen conflict with Ukraine and NATO results in Crimea remaining part of the Russian Federation.
Ib. A wider conflagration grows whereby the forces of the West engage Russian forces and over time and mission creep a full scale world war is in progress.

SCENARIO #5

Ukraine backs down in terms of rhetoric against Russia in coordination with the USA doing the same. Western mainstream media seeing the way geopolitical events are going does likewise.
Russia responds in reciprocal fashion.
The USA, UK, EU representatives along with individual representatives from Germany, France and Italy organize a congress where they and Russia and Ukraine are the primary attendees. All other nations potentially affected by the threat of war in Europe such as Poland Belarus, Baltic States as well as the Czech Republic, Slovakia and others are included.
A Europe-wide and indeed global security architecture is eventually agreed with a reaffirmation of the principles of non-interference and illegality of initiating attacks on sovereign nations without just cause and authorization of a specific UN resolution.

SCENARIO #6

Ukraine announces that it has suspended its application to join NATO and will not renew it at any further date.
Russia welcomes this decision and asks Georgia to make the same statement.
Georgia does so.
The USA recommends to NATO that it withdraw from all ex-Warsaw Pact nations it has entered since the verbal agreements made with Mikhail Gorbachev in the Nineties whereby NATO would not move an inch further east toward Russia's borders.
The new security architecture Russia has demanded is thrashed out in a series of meetings and one final conference, and is ultimately agreed.
Europe is restored to a much-welcomed congenial environment where threats no longer hang over the population.
Trade with Russia and China increase markedly along with cultural, sporting and many other areas of social and corporate contact.
The USA begins to concentrate on its problems at home, improving infrastructure and bringing its people together in harmony once more.
Britain struggles to achieve a similar economic base to that which it enjoyed while within the European Union.
The world sighs a breath of relief that the possibility of yet another world war has been avoided by politicians of all sides emphasizing what they have in common, recognizing what they might lose otherwise and deciding on compromises that deliver a peaceful world looking to the future.

 

 

THE CRITICAL SITUATION IN UKRAINE APPEARS TO BE APPROACHING ITS CLIMAX

It appears that the expected provocation from the Ukrainian military and associated militias may be occurring currently.

 

 If so then Russia has a very difficult decision to make regarding a response.

It is obvious that this trap has been in preparation for a long time now and the recent rhetoric about the predicted 'Russian Invasion' is an integral part of it.

The assault by Kiev if such it is being reported now is designed to draw Russian into making an incursion. The assault itself is planned to not be reported in the slightest. But Russia's response will be pounced on with mile high headlines about an unprovoked invasion.

Hopefully the current assault will prove to be a larger but not significantly larger one than experienced in recent times.

We can only wait and see.

Moscow must surely know this is the plan. The conundrum it faces is that it cannot merely stay aloof and watch as the republics are assaulted and mass deaths occur. But to act and make even the slightest incursion will unleash the attack dogs hungering across the western world in both political and media worlds to tear Russia apart for it.

The stakes involved are incredibly high on all sides.

The USA must engineer a situation whereby the NordStream 2 pipeline is cancelled. If it is allowed to go ahead and start a flow of natural gas to Europe a chain of actions detrimental to U.S power in Europe begins. Germany becomes free to act more as a sovereign nation once again free of the threat from America to close the pipeline down. Germany needs that gas, it is not feasible to gain the additional supply it needs from other sources. It needs all that gas in order to close its nuclear power stations and abandon its coal fields.

If Germany completes the process of certification of NordStream 2 the U.S loses leverage without imposing direct sanctions on Germany, something it is loath to do. Germany, with freedom of movement more intact can now put pressure on Ukraine to make good on its Minsk commitments signed up to in 2015. It is also free to acknowledge Russia’s red lines over NATO expansion and its requirement for a security guarantee as part of a new geopolitical security architecture for Europe.

The above all sidelines NATO making it increasingly irrelevant. In this process the USA likewise becomes less influential. The manufactured threat from Russia disappears and the USA no longer has the leverage of old regarding influence and power to sustain its interests in Europe and progressively across the entire globe.

So this time is of existential importance to the USA and UK in particular. Their long rein of empire is fast becoming eclipsed by the rising powers of Eurasia. NordStream 2 will be the first major blow that starts the rot, soon to be followed by others. This is why it is SO important and this is why a so-called ‘Russian Invasion’ must be provoked and reported at the loudest level with the largest headlines possible. In so doing absolutely enormous, unparalleled and irresistible pressure will be put on Germany to ensure NordStream 2 lies dormant forever and the USA can stave off the rise of Eurasia at least a little longer.