PROS AND CONS | TRUMP - BIDEN

Trump is clearly relying on his base to win. The chances of him picking up undecideds is slim. His approach and demeanor mean you are either for him or against him with no to little middle ground.

Biden has a much better chance with those who are not particularly enthusiastic about him but who will find him far more attractive than Trump.

At this point Trump appears to be trying to increase the size of his base with extravagant statements and downright lies. This is very unlikely to work. Trump has his base and it remains fairly stable. But it may not be enough for him to win this time and he knows it.

Biden stands a very good chance of picking up all those who find Trump distasteful at the very least and of course all those who loathe Trump have a supremely strong motivation to get to the polls on November 3rd.

Are there any extra raving nutballs and wacky conspiracy theorists out there to be had who can add to the Trump total by continuing to believe Trump can work for them? Surely there are quite a few but surely not enough to swing it for Trump as those who despise him arrive at booths in great numbers on polling day.

Trump was doing reasonably well until Covid-19 struck. His mishandling was obvious to most... and even some of his rabid fans must surely have had a few reasons to doubt him, especially if they lost work or got sick. The U.S. economy is taking a big hit though Wall Street and the Military Industrial Complex has been well buffered from the economic storm that is taking jobs and health insurance and will soon take homes.

Trump can only point to Wall Street as his success story now whereas before he had the economic outlook and increase in jobs to indicate he was successful as president. Now he is left with a boast concerning swamp creatures.

Biden is no moderate. He is a right-wing advocate for incarceration and war. Crime and punishment are his watchwords. His VP likewise. While they will attempt to portray a cozy and cuddly aspect their core beliefs are hard and jagged as splintered rock.

Biden and Harris will seek to provide a soft face inward and a hard face outward. This will be a difficult balancing act regarding the “Defense Industry” which takes far too great a percentage of U.S. GDP which will be increasingly needed to heal a country being devastated by joblessness, homelessness and crumbling infrastructure. So much money will have already been spent propping up Wall Street and the M.I.C. that there can surely be little leeway to borrow more for all the social and structural needs demanded by the next administration. But cutting the massive military expenditure budget will not be at all easy to do, particularly as the U.S. foreign policy agenda will clearly become more aggressive.

If Trump wins re-election there might be a few changes in the foreign policy agenda. Those targets which suit the purposes of Israel and Saudi Arabia will without doubt remain as is. But Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua may be put even more on the back burner than now. Trump will talk big on eliminating the Cuban and Venezuelan governments during the campaign to bolster support from him in Florida but I would expect little change or even a reduction in belligerence toward them if he wins.

Iran will remain a target for Trump due to the needs of Israel and Saudi Arabia and what he gets from them by return. The Palestinians will remain totally ignored by Trump as he can get nothing from them... so why he thinks should he do anything for them. This is how it is with Trump. He thinks like a mafia boss. Why would he ever act as a social worker? For Trump there must ALWAYS be something in it for him.

Biden will at least make some criticisms of Israel and the Saudis. But he will effect very little change apart from this. The policy toward Iran will be interesting as it will likely be one of turning the clock back to rejoining the Iran Nuclear deal. He would encounter fierce opposition on this but ultimately it would not be able to dissuade him or hurt him, especially if this was effected in the first 100 days.

Toward China Biden would probably maintain a Trump-like stance but it is hard to see him being tougher. He would more likely bow somewhat to the inevitable seeing that no amount of wrecking ball economic tactics can restrain the economic powerhouse that is China for long.  

Toward Russia Biden will be extremely aggressive. Why reasonably democratic Russia should be the primary target and not communist China I leave up to you to figure out. It makes no economic sense so must be purely political in nature. Putin’s insistence on Russia remaining an independent sovereign nation with its own interests at the forefront of all Russian minds has rankled U.S. elites ever since he pointed this out in Munich in 2007.

Trump, for all his warm words about Putin and Russia has done nothing particularly positive for either. A few meetings were arranged which seemed to go well but nothing concrete regarding agreements to cooperate emerged. On the contrary Trump has proceeded to attack every Russian ally in one way or another for the entire course of his presidency. China, Iran, Syria, Venezuela and Cuba have all be targets for Trump. All Russian allies. With friends like this you don’t need enemies.

Biden-Harris will seek to bind together in ever greater cooperation the forces of its allies within “The Free World" in a new Cold War alliance of unbreakable and invincible strength. NATO will be its spearhead. The wagons will be circled and all will sing from the same hymn book. No debate will transpire, no criticism will be tolerated to any degree. Diplomacy will be a sham at best and in reality totally non-existent.

On the home front, as referred to earlier Biden will seek to heal wounds and scars caused by the Trump era. He will talk a lot about healing and returning to American norms. He will talk of bringing Americans together in unity again, of building bridges, not burning them down as Trump has done. Reconciliation, repair and restoration of good and true values will be significant watchwords. Putting some reality behind those pretty words will be a very large devil in every detail. A large green devil as the money to achieve any meaningful results will be in great short supply. Americans pulling themselves up by their own bootstraps may well be the motif used. The resilience of the 'American Way of Life’ will no doubt be emphasized and that everyone must pull together now to win back all that was lost during the reign of a madman.

What would Trump do differently if he wins in November. In my estimation apart from some slight changes in foreign policy mentioned above I suspect not much. His motivations will remain the same, to gain what he can in terms of power, wealth and respect for himself according to his own mentally dysfunctional way of seeing things. Like the businesses he ran into the ground and ruined he would simply carry on while attempting constantly to shore up his image and reputation with dirty dealings and lies. He knows no other way. He has no smarts to get things right. As a sociopath/socialized psychopath he is totally focused on himself and has scant to zero actual knowledge on how to make ANYTHING go truly right for the benefit of all. Others hardly matter to sociopaths, only THEY count.

So, ultimately which direction should the USA take in November?

I suspect Biden will win and this will be best for the people of America as Trump is incapable of focusing on anyone but himself. Biden is at least a relatively normal, if callous and right-wing politician, rather cold-blooded but not fenced within any of the psychiatric mentality that has Trump firmly in its grip. As Biden relinquishes the presidency, Harris the protege of Hillary Clinton, will provide HRC with the opportunity she craves of guiding the USA toward ever-greater regime change militarism on the world stage. The stage will already have been set for this however as Biden-Harris will create an unbridgeable divide in the world by uniting “The Free World” against all its “enemies”.

In terms of geopolitics, with Trump waging an economic war with so many nations it is hard to see any scope for major change. Trump may make good on his warm words about Putin and work with Russia, even if just to spite his many feather-spitting detractors in the Democratic Party and U.S. mainstream media who have displayed their hatred of him so regularly throughout his first term, especially in regard to Russia. Like a broken clock being right twice a day Trump’s mental dysfunction and lust for praise and power, sucking it in like a political black hole, might accidentally produce some world unity there at last.

 It’s a toxic mix. Whether heads or tails you still lose something here while gaining something there.

I would only wish there was a better third choice. A third party and leader not beholden to Wall Street, the Jewish Lobby or the Military Industrial Complex as both now main parties are.

But we are where we are. And it’s going to be Biden or Trump.

Which of these two do YOU think should win for the good of the USA... or perhaps for the his influence on the entire world? (Keeping in mind the certainty of future pandemics, climate change and all else humanity will face in the coming years.)

Over to you America...