TRUMP IS IN BIG TROUBLE

There are good reasons to believe Trump will lose in November. They are varied in origin with many, but not all, due to the pandemic.

Combined they seriously mitigate against his reelection & toward a big win for Joe Biden.

The pandemic is responsible for the most significant factors undermining his chances, however there are many other factors involved.

Trump in 2016 had potent issues he could use to beat the Democrats with and garner those Americans to his cause who saw their needs reflected in the promises he made.

The Democrats had encouraged the trend for companies to move their operations overseas gutting American manufacturing and creating virtual ghost towns. Trump swore to bring all the lost jobs back and ‘make America great again’. The pandemic has ruined any chance of Trump pointing to any gains on this score.

Under Obama millions of Americans fell below the poverty threshold and the number of them having to ask for food stamps soared. Trump was their hope for the future, their desperate gamble that only an outsider could change things. Again, the pandemic has blocked any crowing Trump might like to have made on this subject.

The number of Americans considering themselves middle class fell from 63% to 51% under Obama. Wages were stagnating while prices rose inexorably. Middle America was being squeezed, its lifestyles under ever-increasing pressure. Trump offered seductive promises to transform the lives of the American middle class and reverse these trends. They have never been worse off than now.

Trump promised to cancel Obamacare and replace it. He has not done so. He can’t point to any truly meaningful or fundamental change he has made. Costs rose, many lost their health plans, bankruptcies due to ill health rose and twenty seven million Americans still had no health care insurance despite the promises made by Obama. The pandemic means Trump has no convincing rhetoric on this score for obvious reasons.

Obama had become president saying he would end the disastrous regime change policy of George W. Bush engaged in after 9/11 which had decimated both Afghanistan and Iraq. Instead he presided over the NATO attack upon Libya which left the country completely fractured and lawless where the slave trade reappeared and various factions vied violently for power. Trump said he’d bring U.S. troops home from the ongoing war in Afghanistan and from Iraq. He has been effectively stopped from doing so by both parties legislation specifically denying him the right.

Millions of Americans had become completely disenchanted with Obama ultimately finding him incompetent and divisive. This faction at least saw Trump as the man to represent them and their grievances. This made up Trump’s base however, arguably it has not risen in size while Trump’s own incompetence and divisive nature have stirred many more to oppose him and wish for someone more unifying to take over.

Trump needed to make good on his 2016 promises but has been unable to in many cases. His wall that he set so much store in is not yet in place. And Mexico is certainly not paying for it, the American people are. He does not have the power to end the presence of U.S. troops in the Middle East by bringing them home, that has been denied him. He swore to end China’s advantage over the U.S. and re-balance the trade between the two in America’s favor. The imbalance is worse than ever as statistics show. He swore to replace Obamacare and couldn’t.

Trump has lost his main areas of attack. He can’t boast of the health of the U.S. economy and decreased unemployment as the virus has completely undermined this much needed rallying cry to gain him the continued support of the American people.

Trump’s woefully incompetent and haphazard response to the coronavirus pandemic has been obvious for all to see. With over 200,000 dead, the worst toll of any nation worldwide Trump’s protestations of competence can’t but fall on deaf ears apart from his ever-loyal base.

Trump’s base has not increased while many undecideds and non-voters of the past will surely have joined opposing forces and the recent debate in which Trump was seen to be aggressive and bullying will not have helped him at all in this respect. An indicator of this is that the Twitter following of Joe Biden rose by over 290,000 to over ten million in the 24 hours after the debate universally slated as the worst Americans had ever seen.

Trump can’t explain policies in any detail. He needs accusatory statements of the other side’s wrongdoing, boasts of enormous success along with convincing tall tales of successes to come to relate in staccato sound-bytes of bravado. Little ammunition is available along any of these lines. His recent efforts to show the right-wing Biden as a lackey of the hard left is pathetic and totally unconvincing to anyone with the slightest knowledge of the man.

Trump is really struggling. His issues are either no longer there or counter-productive if he mentions them. Poverty, homelessness, depression, contemplation of suicide, joblessness and health-related bankruptcies are all rising. What can Trump say that can reach those other than his base to convince them he can transform their lives? More promises that he failed to deliver in the past four years? Are they really likely to convince undecideds and non-voters? I think not.

Trump is looking like a busted flush. A deceiver who has been found out. A con-artist who has been mercilessly exposed.

Donald J. Trump is, in my estimation a situation where no amount of his usual bluster will work. he is looking increasingly like a loser, a man with no solutions who is relying only on easily provable lies and bluster to convince people no longer gullible and willing to accept his empty promises he has not fulfilled.

Many Americans are heartsick of division and long for some kind of normality in their governance to resume. Many are aware of just how far the reputation of the United States has fallen abroad and regard him as having brought both shame and ridicule to them and their desire to be looked to with pride. Others who believed his rhetoric about ending regime change wars and seeking harmony and agreement with other nations have seen him mount economic wars against many more nations over his years as president and no longer have faith in him in this respect.

Trump’s minority view on climate change in the face of recent environmental events worldwide and at home must surely have given many pause for thought and made them doubt a man who never exhibits doubts of any kind.

Trump’s serial lying has not gone unnoticed by voters who may have given him the benefit of the doubt in previous years and who will not believe any new promises by him now knowing that his style is to be permanently economic with the truth and with disastrous consequences for them.

Trump has little to boast about. His bullying tactics and his aggressive lies cannot instill the confidence the facts of life deny. Trump is looking increasingly like a man without a plan, the incompetent pawn of far greater powers than those he claims but has never displayed. He looks increasingly desperate, clutching at straws, merely upping his aggression and clinging to the racist thugs that are his fiercest supporters unwilling to disavow them when given the opportunity. Trump’s power is draining away, his previous targets have dwindled, his promises are largely unfulfilled or lying as ashes at his feet.

In short Donald J. Trump is in big trouble that could sweep him away in a torrent of rejection in November and usher in a liberal totalitarianism with the election of Joe Biden which will certainly be America’s next era of extremism and excruciating torment, one to at least equal that of the renegade Trump who failed them so spectacularly just as Obama had before him.