We are clearly approaching a geopolitical tipping point by way of Russia’s imminent victory in Ukraine. Whether you applaud or deplore that inevitability it’s coming and soon.
Russia taking and securing the Donbass region of Ukraine and within weeks accepting the results of a speedy referendum there resulting in a request to join the Russian Federation, will have seismic geopolitical effects.
NATO, having been shown impotent, standing by, unable to do anything of note against the Russian intervention will be greatly weakened even if the immediate effects are for more nations to join (Sweden and Finland and likely, what’s left of Ukraine, albeit in Ukraine’s case very brief).
The EU and the USA will be seen to have been beaten at what some will call their own game when the backlash against Zelensky hits within the remainder of Ukraine. Paroxysms of fevered blame-game posturing will result and come the mid-terms in the USA the Democrats look set for an almighty drubbing.
Russia will be ascendant having fulfilled every last aim of its ‘special military operation’, the safeguarding in perpetuity of its borders in relation to what was becoming a de facto NATO state. The civilian population of the Donbass will never again hear the whining of mortar shells or missiles overhead or fear for their lives that sadistic extremists who hate them will kidnap, torture and kill them or any of their family.
The Donbass will receive enormous investment from Russia, China and their allies while the EU and perhaps the USA will rebuild civilian infrastructure damaged or destroyed by the Ukrainian Azov militia and others as false flag ops, or else that which was destroyed as a bi-product of Russia targeting military installations.
The atrocities at Bucha, Kramatorsk and elsewhere will hopefully be investigated and the findings of these will show unequivocally that it was the Ukrainian extremist forces who perpetrated them.
Ukraine will join the EU in quick order and as mentioned above, most likely NATO also… but extremely briefly. The country will drain already fast dwindling EU resources and if the U.S. assists in the Ukraine rebuild its national debt, already soaring will soar even more.
Unrest and political change across Europe and the USA is inevitable as price rises reach unbearable levels, bankruptcies soar, unemployment reaches unheard of peaks and with no end in sight to the dwindling spiral of interconnected negative factors the West in general descends into a seemingly endless debilitating turmoil.
Russia, now vindicated as seen by most of the world, having appreciated the continued support of both China and India along with the vast majority of nations in the global south, sees its popularity and economic reach widen exponentially just as the West goes into steep decline.
Russia, now also seen as a strong bastion against a western world that is seen to have behaved in a reckless fashion over Ukraine. This along with two decades of regime change wars with counter productive outcomes means the USA and UK become shunned and not only by the general public but by many national leaders.
If experiences from the last wars of the usa and nato show us, there will be NO rebuilding of ukraine after the war! Look at the Iraq and all other places where they fight!
ReplyDelete