The time is coming when the West's defeat in Ukraine will be undeniable. If past experience is any guide the solution to avoiding maximum backlash will be a resolute and abiding silence.
The only factors keeping the now minimal support for the illegal Ukrainian regime going can be found in the increasingly demented desire of Joe Biden to win reelection and the state of denial in the European Union regarding its obvious and imminent defeat.
Every so-called gamechanger weapon has been delivered to the Kiev regime along with billions of taxpayer’s hard-earned dollars and euros, all to no avail. The writing on the wall of the regime’s defeat has been evident ever since the failure of western sanctions against Russia failed and instead acted to boost its economy instead.
That economically powerful nations such as China and India backed Russia through massively increased trade along with long-prepared Russian solutions against western attacks and the ability of Russian entrepreneurs to take over leaving western concerns sealed the fate of both the Ukrainians and the western plans in tandem.
Russia, replete with increased income flows via partnerships with friendly nations, overcame all obstacles set in front of it in fine style. With the backup of an ever-rising economy and the certainty of continued backing by economic allies Russia steadily increased the capacity of both its military forces and its military supplies.
Over the last two years the Russian army has gained invaluable experience in modern warfare and the tactics best suited to it. The innovations resulting in Russia’s currently unbeatable hypersonic range of missiles plus the development of a new range of weapons to ramp up ever more success on the Ukrainian battlefield, some of which (much more powerful drones) come onstream in mid-summer.
The Ukrainian army, having suffered an overwhelming defeat during its plan to push an offensive through Russian lines failed even to reach them and is now being pushed back city after city, town after town and village after village. With approximately 1,400 Russian volunteers per day having joined the Russian military for over a year now and having been fully trained, these additional troops are steadily entering the theatre of conflict and having their effect. By comparison and in contrast, the Ukrainian army, having lost around 100,000 in its failed recent offensive, is increasingly composed of forced conscripts, the very young, the old and convicts who receive almost no training at all.
The Ukrainian economy is a shadow of what it once was. Billions per month from its western sponsors are the only resource base paying for almost everything including all salaries now. If this source of finance ends the entire edifice of the Ukrainian state collapses. The future for both the Ukrainian people and the budgets of both Europe and the USA appear bleak indeed with the continuing burden of Ukraine stretching on for at least a decade ahead and most likely for the indefinite future thereafter.
So what’s to be done?
Currently the western powers continue to close their eyes to all of the above, place their hands over their ears and simply plough on regardless. The political speeches and media puff pieces to support the Ukrainian regime carry on regardless. Biden huffs and puffs, railing at an increasingly obstinate political class who want their scarce resources to prop up an increasingly problematic American economy (34 trillion in debt) and shore up a leaking southern border. In Europe more and more nations are taking a line where they resist adding to the death toll in Ukraine through the supply of weapons to its corrupt elite. These processes cannot help but become ever more severe over time as the Russian forces press forward due to all the advantages of resource capacity at their disposal.
Biden desperately wants to win his reelection in November. Various European leaders, despite their falling poll ratings due to the boomerang effect of the Russian sanctions on their populations can see no better course than to simply press on in the hope of some miracle. Trump, in America will win the presidency once again, there appears to be no doubt at all on that score now. In Europe the current desperation of politicians such as Macron is evident in the madcap idea to use NATO troops in Ukraine against Russia. Macron of course is receiving massive pushback against him from other NATO nations along with its leadership. It seems clear that we are now at the very last stages of the West’s attempt to succeed in their misbegotten Ukraine project.
So what are we likely to see from here onward?
As with Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria and Libya we are almost certainly likely to find a deafening silence begin to emerge on the subject of Ukraine. After a period of name-calling and blame-assertion where both the western and Ukrainian regimes lay claim to having been misled, let down and variously shafted by the other we will find Ukraine being assigned to the same memory hole as the others. Western political elites will quietly shun the neocons who were so enthusiastic about their seemingly cunning plan to bring Russia down via Ukraine (Nuland has already offered her resignation). Attention will be turned to China across the board. We will see both western politicians and media increasingly talk of the Chinese threat and the importance of countering it. Containing China will be the new emphasis with every possible assertion of evil directed toward it. Ukraine, left to its own devices and with no option but to do so, will accept Russian terms, much harder than those proposed by Russia in the early months of the conflict.
Hundreds of thousands will have died in vain. The proposal that Ukraine be a neutral state, a buffer between Russia and the NATO nations, an agreement seeking peace and reconciliation, scuppered by Joe Biden and Boris Johnson in the name of the collective west, will be acknowledged by academia as the point when the West revealed its true purpose was not to save Ukraine but to bring down Russia. The populations of the West will hardly hear a thing about this however, once all the excuses are made on all sides for the Ukraine Project have been made, all news of Ukraine will disappear from every newspaper and news channel as it disappears from the lips of every western politician. A blunder of vast proportions that every western resource has been used to minimise the effect of by keeping the essential facts of it hidden will silently, insidiously and inevitably reduce western capacities and cause the failure also of the new war planned against China.
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