UKRAINE’S KURSK INCURSION IS AN ACT OF DESPERATION

There comes a time when all is about to be lost. It is then that acts of despertion are all that's left you.

Trump is coming, for better or worse. An avid supporter of Israel, Trump is clearly keen to end the conflict between the Russian Federation and the Ukrainian regime. For the Kiev regime this is not good news. Not unless they can do something significant by January next year that can turn the negotiations more in their favour. This is the true purpose of their Kursk incursion. Capturing the Kursk nuclear power plant would be the cherry on the incursion cake for them, but merely capturing (and retaining) large swathes of Russian territory would certainly provide a significant advantage. Here is the crucial factor… retaining what’s captured.

It appears that the regime has ordered something around one third of their total military force to the Kursk/Sumy area threatening two more regions apart from Kursk, the Bryansk and Belgorod regions. It is obvious that more incursions, if not a fullscale offensive, or offensives are planned. The Russians know this and are planning for this eventuality. While denying the Ukrainian military their favoured route to the north the Russians are making sure their raiding parties are finding progress difficult to the west where the Ukrainians seem most focused. Three bridges have been blown there in recent day. Russian engineering squads are busy building pontoon bridges to replace them. These have come under attack but the pontoon-building process continues.

As the Ukrainian raiding parties move further from the border their lines of logistic supply become ever more strained. Adding to this problem are of course the air superiority of the Russians who are bombing Ukrainian supply hubs and lines of supply in the neighbouring Ukrainian Sumy region. Time will tell whether Russian firepower can sufficiently decimate Ukrainian manpower to delay, or even halt the proposed Ukrainian offensive(s). 

Within the Kursk region the Russians are steadily destroying Ukrainian troop formations such as they are. This presents some difficulties as the Ukrainians are moving in small, fast-moving raiding parties or convoys of a relatively small number of vehicles. However, the Russians are steadily whittling down the Ukrainians and their vehicles with the use of drones and, where concentrations of troops and armour are greater, with artillery.

Overall, this entire operation denotes extreme desperation within the upper echelons of the Ukrainian regime. This is even recognised among the regime most fervent supporters in the West. Doubts were expressed very early among both the political and media elites in the USA and Europe and these doubts certainly continue. It is being described most commonly as a gamble but in truth this should be stated not merely as a gamble, but a desperate gamble. The Kiev regime can be said to be not only creating a cauldron (complete encirclement) for its military in the kursk Oblast but also ensuring that the Russian military is able to blast its way through Ukrainian defenses all the way to the Dnieper.

By moving the best, most highly trained of its forces to the north to fight within a relatively small, strategically unimportant part of Russia, leaving its forces along the entire line of conflict in the Donbass vulnerable, the Ukrainian regime is making its last throw of the military dice. Desperate to do SOMETHING before Trump takes over the U.S. presidency in January 2025 this panic measure, an all or nothing attempt to show relevance and gain some leverage in future talks Zelensky and co. may in fact have just thrown the entire Ukraine under the bus with this action.

There are no further Ukrainian defenses of any significance after Russia takes Pokrovsk (in the next few weeks, month at most) then Kramatorsk and Slavyansk. The Russian forces will then press on with few casualties to the eastern bank of the Dnieper after which the erstwhile Ukrainian eastern Ukraine would be split in two. Zelensky having ordered the incursion into Russia was the last straw for Russia. Now little quarter will be given as the Russians have been enraged by this act and will offer Zelensky no negotiations of any kind and will only accept his resignation after signing Ukraine’s total capitulation. 

Is it any wonder Zelensky is desperate? It is not. However, his last major act seems sure to bring about the end of his malignant tenure as president of Ukraine, and the possible end of Ukraine as an economically viable state. He has presided over a national suicide. The entire West-initiated exercise, all the way from th Bucharest summit of 2008 to the Maidan insurrection of 2014 has been just that , Ukraine’s West-fostered suicide. Of course the western powers have acted in desperation also. They saw the nations of the global south and Eurasia rising economically, clearly destined to reduce western power over time to naught in the creation of a fully multipolar world.

It is well worth taking note of the striking comparison between Western/Ukrainian desperation and the systematic, calm rise and determination of all those opposing them.