Sunday, 1 September 2024

WILL THE WEST WIN IN UKRAINE ON A DIET OF REGIME-GENERATED FANTASIES?

What is most likely to win a war, a slick advertising campaign based on smoke & mirrors, or professional troops led by commanders who can strategize expertly based on hard facts?

If you listen to commentators linked to western mainstream institutions on YouTube you will get the distinct impression that everything is going swimmingly in Ukraine. Russia is being defeated, Putin has been humiliated and the West’s support for the Ukrainian regime is a noble thing bearing great fruit. Just as U.S. officers in Afghanistan emphasized the positive steps they were taking rather than talk of the reality of how badly things were going,in the selfsame way Ukrainian officers, fearful of being demoted or even sacked, send similar missives back to Kiev.

While the Russian high command are certainly seeking to gain the most accurate information, bad or good from the battlefield, so as to plan the next best strategic moves, the U.S. has long complained that it was not getting accurate information from Kiev. This has been the situation in Ukraine from the get go. With far fewer resources than Russia in terms of manpower, technology, industrial capacity and virtually all else, the Ukrainian regime needed factoids they could relate to their western sponsors that gave a positive spin and gloss on things. This has created a culture of lies that makes strategic thinking near impossible.

In recent days Ukrainian troops on the front lines have complained bitterly that their commanders (who they sarcastically refer to as “geniuses”) are telling bare-faced lies to their superiors back in Kiev who will certainly pass this “good news” on to Zelensky. The same Ukrainian soldiers on the line of contact talk of a chaos of uncoordinated strategies conducted in the absence of good information, of ignorance concerning the Russians and their current positions. No one wants to communicate the bad news that Russia has taken this village or town and so the Russian lines are not known to the troops who are supposed to be doing the defending.

The above lamentable circumstances plus the large percentage of forced and only partially-trained Ukrainians along the Donbass front lines, having been left to hold the fort while the better trained and battle-hardened troops left for Kursk, means that Russia is moving at speed toward the most strategically vital Ukrainian targets there. Pokrovsk, the vital logistical hub for the Ukrainians in the region west of Avdeevka is likely to fall in the next several weeks. There are very few Ukrainian lines of fortification beyond Pokrovsk to the West and with Pokrovsk liberated the door is wide open for Russia to take all the land up to the eastern bank of the Dnieper river.

Yet with all of the above being a very stone cold reality you will not find any particular dismay among the western academics, commentators and pundits who know they can only provide a wholly partial rendition of the facts. The level of bias mixed with wishful thinking, cherry-picking of certain events which can be blown up from minor wins to major ones and a total ban on anything that presents Russia or the Russian military in anything but a negative way leaves viewers of such material blind to what is really going on. And this is even more true when it comes to the transfer of the Kiev regime’s “information” on this, that and the other concerning almost anything under the sun. These fantasies spawned from delusion and active, bare-faced lie-telling propaganda creates a miasma that creates an enormous vulnerability.

Russia presses forward inexorably, keeping all lines of attack in coordination. Accurate data is transferred between units and to central command. The winning of the conflict depends upon this. The Russian Ministry of Defense holds back on announcing gains until they are totally verified and not before. The Russians understand the vital importance of accurate information while the Ukrainian regime fights a PR war, constantly seeking to send good news to its sponsors so they keep supplying the vital money and machines without which they would very soon collapse. You can’t fight and win a war with theatrics like this. Ultimately you lose through their use as you blind yourself and all allies seeking to promote your chances.

This is one of the main reasons why Russia is winning. While the western powers was never going to bring themselves to stop the supply of money, machines and manpower to the Kiev regime this war was always destined to continue long after it should have been lost by Ukraine. So the fantasy world that western commentators are spinning and the delusions of grandeur and victory that Zelensky clearly has can go on almost indefinitely. But hard reality will naturally continue to prevail. Russia will continue inflicting massive casualties and continue taking ever more territory. No fantasy or delusion will be able to hide these hard facts. 

Sooner or later the shock of having been told one lie after another by their politicians and mainstream media news outlets will hit western populations. There will, without doubt, be a massive hue and cry, just as there was when the Iraqi WMD scam was exposed. Of course new lies will be required by these sources in an attempt to cover the old ones. Russia couldn’t defeat Ukraine, couldn’t attain its goal of conquering and occupying Ukraine will be the chief lie to cover their arses. That Russia never wanted this war and did everything possible (Minsk-Istanbul) to avoid it will not matter. The most expedient lies will simply be endlessly repeated until western audiences are benumbed into frustrated silence.

Yet another fantasy world where the West has won will emerge on its defeat in Ukraine. NATO will be said to have come out of it larger and stronger. Some form of war against Russia will continue where it is said it faces defeat and humiliation. Projections of this kind will abound. The West will be doing just fine. All is well… now let’s concentrate on waging war against China next. 

Though Russia will still be lambasted as the greatest evil ever known in general, like a dog licking its wounds in silence news of Ukraine will fast disappear from the headlines of major news outlets across the West. Just as those regarding Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Syria have done.

Delusion, fantasy and the fabrication of a positive scenario regarding the West and its righteous and sanctimonious goodness will continue even more ferociously into the future. Just as no one believed anything published by the state officials of the former Soviet Union, only very few deluded sous will believe the increasingly totalitarian epithets, statements and Orwellian pronouncements emerging from the White House, Whitehall or Brussels. Despite every attempt to keep feeding the delusion of the West’s greatness the reality of its decline will be seen in all its stark reality by the focused, reality-based eyes of the global majority. The West’s decline into ever-deeper levels of fantasy and delusion at this point is most certainly assured. 



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