IN UKRAINE THE WEST IS SQUANDERING ALL ITS CHANCES

Russia has been extremely patient. Some would say recklessly so. This latter due Russia’s patience having cost many Russian lives through its incremental approach seeking peace at each juncture. Now the mood in Russia, never anything like as patient as the Kremlin’s response has been, is turning increasingly radical. The western powers have squandered every chance provided by Russia to come to an agreement over Ukraine such as in March of last year. Russians want a maximum campaign of outright war against the Ukrainian leadership and those who support it.

As was publicised by Vladimir Putin in his recent meeting with the leaders of African nations who were seeking to broker a peace settlement, there was already one nearing completion in Istanbul in March of last year. Already in document form and merely needing a few days or weeks more work it was thrown into the trash bin of history by none other than Boris Johnson with assistance from a certain Mr Joe Biden. These men, either through some demented ambition, arrant stupidity or mean-spirited mendacity diverted the path to peace to one of war.

This near-agreement was thrashed out only weeks after the beginning of Russia’s special military operation with Johnson and Biden throwing not only the possibility of a peace treaty into the garbage, with it tens of thousands of lives. This should torture both men for the rest of their lives and ensure their names live in infamy in all history books to come. Johnson is such an arrogant and mindless buffoon that the likelihood of him giving a damn is non-existent. Biden is merely mindless at this point though his thuggish nature, so evident during his entire career is clear to all.

This was the main chance. It was thrown away. And since that time there have been other chances, all laid at the West’s door by Vladimir Putin and the Russian military. It would have been normal for Russia to simply declare war on the Ukrainian regime. After all, it was completely illegal having taken power after an ultra-violent coup cheered on by the political and media elites of the USA, UK and EU. The new Ukraine had become infested with the same sadistic form of violence that gave birth to it. It had become a monster with no brain but only claws and with those claws it tore at the civilian population of the Donbass who feared and loathed it.

The other chances that Russia gave the western powers to turn toward peace instead of war have been constant in the desire of Russia to minimise casualties at every turn, to keep its targeting to strictly military targets, even when it was obvious that the Kiev regime was enticing Russia to kill civilians by placing its troops among them as human shields. Yet Russia did everything possible to minimise civilian deaths and restricted its use of weaponry and kept the number of targets down. In the first year of the campaign this was the constant approach of the Russian military, even withdrawing completely from their positions in the vicinity of the Ukrainian capital.

The withdrawal of Russian troops from the environs of Kiev was in response to the significant progress toward a peaceful resolution that took place in Istanbul in March 2022. Progress that was spurned in favour of more war by the U.S. and UK leadership. The approach to Kiev was the very first opportunity given to the Ukrainian leadership and its western sponsors to recognise the grievances Russia had in terms of a growing threat to its security. Vladimir Putin, feeling a close kinship to the Ukrainian people wished to do everything possible to avoid violent conflict and so tried this opening gambit.

Most probably Russia ought to have realised at this point in time with Istanbul being spurned that the West would NEVER allow any peace agreement to be negotiated and had only ever wanted war and to use Ukraine and the Ukrainian people to forward its geopolitical ambitions, to shore up its weakening grip on the world and damage a rising nation that would not submit to its command. Vladimir Putin had said as much at the Munich security conference in February of 2007. This had made him and the entire Russian political elite enemies to be undermined, weakened, eliminated and replaced. This was the goal and the genesis of the entire tragedy that now encompasses Ukraine.

Russia brought its power to bear incrementally, always seeking to ask if the others would come to the negotiating table now… or now… or now. But despite  a few semantic signals that the western powers might do so early on this soon changed. It changed into rhetoric that it wasn’t time for peace talks and that the Ukrainian military must gain a better bargaining position through a continuance of its attacks upon the Russian forces. Alongside this they talked in insulting terms regarding the Russian military and claimed that the Ukrainian military could beat them with their help.

As the western powers escalated instead of seeking peace Russia was left little choice but to return the “favour” and increase the level of its weaponry and sharpen its attacks on an expanded number of targets. Like a black belt jujitsu master, Russia used only those weapons and abilities necessary at any one time, always looking for signs that the opponent was ready to signal an end to the fight. That signal, though feinted in the mid-period of the conflict, eventually faded and died, never to rise again. The conflict became a fight to the death. Even so Russia still did not apply its most powerful weapons.

The most powerful weapons Russia has are only now coming to the fore. The hope of any negotiations with those clearly seeking the collapse and end of the Russian Federation and its breaking up into pieces, has ended. Patience on the Russian side has all but ended. Those institutions and those who run them in Ukraine are now becoming major targets. Russia never wanted to decapitate this snake, it needed a superstructure in Ukraine to negotiate with, a political cadre of officials to sign the ultimate peace settlement. But now, with almost every iota of patience rapidly draining away in Russia it appears still that the Ukrainian regime and the puppet-masters who fund, run, advise and arm it are tone deaf to all reason.

This leaves the West open to a situation where the full might of Russian power is unleashed with the reluctant knowledge that nothing can be done about these savagely mindless political beasts infesting Ukraine but to put them out of their misery once and for all and damn the West to cope with the absolute chaos and nationwide anarchy that will inevitably follow.

BIDEN: ‘WHAT ME WORRY?’ AS THE WORLD RISKS GOING UP IN FLAMES

The world is going about its business as normal. At least within the confines of the ‘new normal’. There appears to be little concern about the imminent future normal that could be unleashed at any moment, heralded by a distant, or not so distant, mushroom cloud, flash in the sky and a sudden devastating wave of death that washes over those in range.

We’d rather not think in these terms of course, we carry on as normal, that normal we assume will be here again tomorrow and the next day and the next… But we are no longer where we were as a world. Things have changed radically as a result of events in Ukraine that were brought to boiling point without anyone turning down the heat.

The very heat that was turned up under Russia caused it to explode across eastern Ukraine with flash points all across it where missiles strike. That heat is beginning to be felt across Europe and even extends to the USA. And still those who fanned the flames continue to do so. They stand with hoses filled not with water but gasoline. And who is the lead fireman? That man over there with a confused look on his face, grey hair who tends to stumble around on each stage he frequents issuing garbled version of what he reads on the latest teleprompter.

Those who carry on with their lives believing things are still relatively normal may be in for a shock. And this for many reasons. Not least of which is that Ukrainian military radicals are firing shells at the largest nuclear power plant in Europe. But it’s not the Russians they are firing at, it’s the refrigeration unit of the plant that keeps the nuclear fuel being used cool. With that fact fully registered in the grey matter of those reading I would defy anyone to continue believing things are anywhere ‘normal’.

The above is serious enough. But you may say that even if the resulting disaster is a little worse than Chernobyl it will be manageable and relatively local. We’d get over it. If this is how you feel I’m afraid there is still more bad news.

Expert opinion has it that neither Russia nor the USA can afford to lose in Ukraine. That if one or the other comes close to being resoundingly defeated the one on the losing end would be very tempted to unleash the ultimate weapon to remedy matters. We seem to have suddenly hit a crisis that far overshadows that which historians have long claimed to be the closest humanity ever came to destruction, the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Back in late 1962 there were at least some statesmen in the USA truly worthy of the name. Wise and sober heads who saw the potential for disaster for humankind in what was happening and who sought through dialogue to reduce tension through dialogue. Thankfully for the rest of us lines of communication were established and an agreement fleshed out involving both sides backing off. The intensity of the diplomacy at the time matched the imminence of the danger.

Not so now. Now those who have been charged with the security of the USA stand with folded arms and mouths shut tight (except to issue aggressive statements further fuelling the fire). Instead of seeking to diminish tensions, by reducing the ever-rising pressure through recommending talks they instead play the blame game and stoke the fire to greater heights by providing ever-more weapons.

This cannot possibly end well.

Every few days thousands die and are horrendously injured. Ever more Ukrainian cannon-fodder is forcibly recruited and sent to the front to die. The tempo of Russian movements that will further decimate the population of Ukraine is gathering pace while the USA and its European allies urge the Ukrainian authorities onward… clearly enthusiastic to see the fighting go on to the very last Ukrainian.

The desperation now of those Ukrainian authorities is clear. In recent months they intensified the shelling of the city of Donetsk first begun in 2014, a city almost devoid of military personnel. This they did with the usual methods of mortar shells and missiles. In addition they distributed thousands of tiny petal mines across the city, landing upon sidewalks and parks where children play. These tiny explosive devices, anti-personnel mines generally only kill pets, cats and dogs. Humans they maim, blowing gaping wounds in feet and legs.

The desperation shown above however is nothing compared to the daily Ukrainian attacks on the largest nuclear plant in Europe near the city of Enerhodar on the Dnieper River. And in recent days we see a false flag attack being planned on the power plant by the Ukrainian regime that could send a radioactive plume circling the planet affecting millions. As ever the headlines will all repeat the same mantra seen so many times now: “Russia Did It!”

While all this goes on western mainstream media continues its one sided narrative on every aspect of the conflict in Ukraine, narrative that excludes any mention of what the Russian authorities say or the reports from those on the ground that contradict the required western take. This stance has prevailed since 2014 when the ongoing crisis seen now began to unfold in Ukraine’s capital where violence trumped democracy with a little help from the USA and European capitals. They say it is far more important to talk with your enemies than it is to your friends. But where can we find leaders willing to hear such sense today?

The general attitude among western leaders is that the fight must go on until Russia is defeated, that more and more weapons must be poured into Ukraine without any mention of peace talks until some final great battle ensues.

The problem is that the great battle they hope with their gamble now being played to the bitter end… may be the last the world ever sees, not because peace has suddenly broken out, but because the world we knew is in pieces and ‘normal’ will never be seen again.

UKRAINE - RUNNING ON EMPTY TO AN INEVITABLE, ALMIGHTY CRASH

Prior to the coup in Kiev during the winter months of 2013-2014 Ukraine was a corrupt but reasonably prosperous nation. The corruption involved the top echelon of politicians and their oligarch friends. These were predominantly the figures of the right, some of them connected to those of the even further right who carried guns and had trained hard for the day when they would be put to use by one of these elites. In that winter they realised that their moment had come. The first protesters who had gathered on Maidan Square in Kiev sought movement of Ukraine toward the EU. In that direction they saw a better life for themselves. Those far in the east of the country however, knew they would not share in this newfound bounty. 

In the east where the industrial plants and mines predominantly are the people look east, not west, they by majority speak Russian and know well that their prospects as a people within the region of the Donbass hang on their relationship with Russia. For the initially peaceful protesters on the Maidan those in the east were not important in the slightest. They had always voted for the politicians that were in opposition to those they favoured. And to the extreme right in western Ukraine they were ‘Moskals’, Russians, their deadly enemy from WWII and the years preceding it. Here we have the three allegiances within these three groupings and a president and government attempting to reconcile them.

1. The predominantly Russian-speaking people of the Donbass living and working  in eastern and south-eastern Ukraine.

This group of several millions, the majority of them never having travelled to western Ukraine worked hard for low wages and resented that their hard work never seemed to benefit their region, all the proceeds going to the capital in western Ukraine. Russia was right next door with a porous border for them to go back and forth, inter-marry and conduct trade.

2. The predominantly Ukrainian-speaking people of western Ukraine.

This group who would only travel to eastern and south-eastern Ukraine during summer holidays on the Crimean peninsula, looked toward the west and increasingly saw joining the European Union and NATO as their best bet for a more successful future. As in the case of the Ukrainians of the Donbass their primary concern was earning a living and improving their standard of living.

3. The ultranationalist minority of exclusively Ukrainian-speaking western Ukrainians.

These are the neo-Nazis that you will have heard of, predominantly young, skinhead types who demonstrated their power through hate-speech and violence and who formed notions of allegiance to certain mythologies concerning Adolf Hitler, the Nazis and the rabid, extreme desire for Ukrainian nationhood that would drive all Russian-speakers from within its borders and ban the use of the Russian language entirely. This group stands for Ukraine alone, unconnected to either the west or east, ‘Ukraine Over All’, ‘Ukraine for the Ukrainians’ and to hell with all others.

These forces would create the toxic mix that has brought ruin onto the entire nation, beginning with the ultra-violent events cheered on by the leaders of western nations in Kiev in the winter of 2013-14.

This was and still is a nation pulling itself apart. The solution, to let the east join Russia where its affiliations of all kinds, cultural, historical and through marriage and those Ukrainian of the west who see themselves as Europeans, enabled to go their separate ways, was unacceptable to the western powers. The people of eastern Ukraine was to be brought kicking and screaming into the EU and NATO no matter how they might protest about it. The USA and the leaders of the EU nations wanted it. So it must be brought about.

The people of Crimea and the Donbass didn’t need degrees in rocket-science to see what significance the Maidan riots had for them. They saw the president and government they had overwhelmingly helped elect brought down by a gun, Molotov Cocktail, toxic spray and brick-wielding mob having been infiltrated by the young men in category 3. above. They knew what that group wanted, it wanted them gone. Any by any means. The first target was their language. Then came the Ukrainian army to put down their reaction to what they saw going on and the knowledge of what was to come. The Ukrainian army largely did not have the heart to attack the Russian-speakers of eastern Ukraine. But those who found their way there from those in category 3. relished the thought of attacking them and wherever and whenever possible, killing them or driving them out.

So it was that an eight year war begin from the Spring of 2014. The villages, towns and cities of the Donbass were besieged and mortar shells flew at random into them. High rise apartment blocks suffered the greatest damage, then came hospitals and schools. The shells that somehow avoided hitting the high buildings landed among suburban homes and in town centres. In all around fourteen to fifteen thousand died during that time and are still dying to this day. Families, men, women, children, the elderly, to the most extreme haters they were all ‘Moskals’, ‘Russians’ and for them, legitimate targets.

This began the war in Ukraine, not the actions of Russia in February of 2022, but the actions of the Ukrainian hard right with their ultra-violent attacks on the Russian-speaking people of the Donbass who, having been denied entry to the Russian Federation sought safety in gaining the autonomy of their region as their second-best option. This was denied them however, through the combined efforts of successive Ukrainian regimes and the leaders of primarily, Germany and France. The Minsk Accords were the vehicles within which Russia sought a peaceful and fair security for the Donbass WITHIN Ukraine. It became clear that only Russia had in truth sought this goal. All others had merely used the Minsk Accords as a way of buying time in which to build up the Ukrainian regime militarily.

The wrecking of the goal within the Minsk Accords of reaching a peaceful and amicable solution, ratified as it was at the United Nations, ended all Russia’s hopes for a peaceful outcome to the Donbass question. No way through to the peaceful and amicable solution now existed. In its place was a growing threat from a Ukraine rapidly becoming a de facto NATO state that would present a growing threat on Russia’s border and an imminent threat to the Russian-speaking majority of the Donbass.

The violent seed of all that has come to represent the conflict in Ukraine can be seen all the way back in that awful winter of 2013-14 on Kiev’s Maidan where violence, not debate posed as the acceptable way forward. The killing of seventeen lightly-armed young policemen did not faze American or European leaders one bit. An organised false flag massacre perpetrated on the protester’s side against their own people through a group of Georgian mercenaries was made the catalyst by all who lauded the mob as “peaceful protesters” and condemned those not guilty of the massacre to be overthrown.

Anyone who has seen the “democratic process” of the Maidan with police burning, being attacked with every weapon imaginable, knows without a shadow of a doubt, if they are fair-minded, that this was the genesis of all that was to come. Right down to the present day where Russia seeks the only road forward left to it, to destroy every extremist, either military or political, that exists within western Ukraine and finally bring the peace it has worked toward for so long now. It acts to END the war that the Ukrainian extremists began in the winter of 2013-14. It does so with huge reluctance. The almost infinite patience with which Russia sought a peaceful end to all this though Minsk demonstrates this. 

Russia WILL achieve her goals because she has no alternative but to do so. All else would leave her vulnerable and open to attacks both covert and overt, by saboteurs, provocateurs, western intelligence and military agencies and above all by NATO. This is an existential issue for Russia. It must achieve making Ukraine a normal (and neutral) state where its ethnic minority, the Russian-speaking population can live in peace and security. And now, having embarked on the only course left to it by both successive Ukrainian regimes and their western backers, it must take the present path through to a comprehensive conclusion that delivers every Russian goal being hard fought for now.

Due to ALL of the above Ukraine is now a nation without a viable economy. It is a nation utterly reliant on financing of all aspects of Ukrainian governance from outside. Without the billions coming in from outside it is insolvent, unable to pay either debts, bills or wages, bereft of any meaningful economy with which to survive, destined to be run by others in perpetuity. It is a ghost state, an empty shell of a nation, a failed state that has become a simpering beggar, always looking for the next hand out from its sponsors. Those sponsors are now showing signs of self inflicted damage due to attacks on the Russian economy which have completely backfired. In due course Ukraine will simply become too great a burden on them, those presently in office will be replaced… the flow of money will dwindle, leading to an inevitable and almighty crash.

UKRAINE - RUNNING ON EMPTY TO AN INEVITABLE, ALMIGHTY CRASH

WILL THE UKRAINIAN REGIME INITIATE A MASS RADIATION EVENT & BLAME IT ON RUSSIA?

Is the Ukrainian regime about to initiate an act of sabotage upon the largest nuclear plant in Europe and then blame it on the Russians? And is the entire panoply of western powers across both the media and political sphere going to assist them in this endeavour?

It may seem so incredible that it can be dismissed outright. Not even Hitler would have been as evil to have contemplated such a thing you may think. Of course Hitler did actively encourage the Holocaust that extinguished the lives of millions and this has provided the benchmark for absolute horror. Might Zelensky and his people be actively building the required propaganda currently with a view to similarly blighting the lives of millions.

As the conflict in the Donbass region moves ever more surely in Russia's favour with the current Ukrainian offensive seen increasingly to have failed with no prospect of anything approaching any future potential for success, the regime in Kiev will inevitably be growing ever more desperate. Is it conceivable that as a last throw of the dice, with its army decimated and unable to mount anything approaching a broadly successful attack on Russian lines that it would do the unthinkable suggested above?

It appears so.

The media framework for such an event is being created by the media outlets of the West faithfully channelling Ukrainian regime claims that Russia is going to sabotage the nuclear plant in the Kherson region that it has held for many months now. This claim is being predicated upon a nonsensical and completely false notion that despite the opposite being the case, that the Russians are losing. Of course this claim has been repeated endlessly and just as falsely since the start of this conflict. Almost nothing else has been reported by the media and political elites of the West since this all began.

The policy of always saying that Ukraine is winning and Russia is losing is just as stridently operated and faithfully channelled across the western world now as it has been since February 24th 2022. What else should the average Joe and Joan in the West believe? Havn't their most eminent politicians been saying so constantly, consistently and forcefully along with every article in their most prestigious newspaper, Hasn't every video on YouTube that they've watched said so along with those programmes that their national TV broadcasters have supplied direct to their living rooms? So, will it be difficult to convince Joe and Joan that the "hateful" Russians have done yet another evil deed?

It must be suspected that it will not. On the contrary, if past reactions of the western populace are to be believed, this will be accepted almost without question. The repeated conditioning of western readers and viewers has been laid so deep within the subconscious of most minds, minds that are too preoccupied by everyday concerns to question them that ultimate suggestibility has been achieved. This is what lies at the most fundamental level on this question that enables the Ukrainians to contemplate and then perpetrate such an outrageously heinous act. They believe they can do it and apart from totally escaping all blame for it with the connivance of both western media and political elites, they can also successfully have the blame shifted to their enemy.

That the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have been active onsite at the power plant in question for many months now and that even as recently as three days ago the Russians requested that they do all they can to ensure the safety of the plant, is unlikely to stop the Ukrainians going ahead with their plan it seems.

Russia asks IAEA to ensure Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant security

Reuters

June 23, 20232:44 PM GMT+2

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-asks-iaea-ensure-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant-security-2023-06-23/

Those reading this commentary will undoubtedly think of it if such a situation as described above occurs. By then every political talking head along with their TV lookalikes and talkalikes plus each and every important member of the western establishment and media outlet will be saying exactly the same thing:

"THE RUSSIANS DID IT!"

Please remember these words if you are still in a condition to do so and not dealing directly with the radioactive effects of such an evil act on you and yours.

WILL THE UKRAINIAN REGIME INITIATE A MASS RADIATION EVENT & BLAME IT ON RUSSIA?

PLUCKING WESTERN HEARTSTRINGS AND FUCKING WESTERN MINDS

I apologise for the bad language in the title above, but it is getting difficult to encompass the mass idiocy and manipulation that is going on using everyday speech.

The massive program of indoctrination and conditioning, indeed brainwashing that is going on across the western world, is moving beyond the capacity of normal speech patterns to describe.

The level of state lies told about the situation regarding both Russia and Crimea has gone beyond maximum on any bullshit meter out there.

Brainwashing out earlier resistance to western state lying has been largely successful. All the lies told to engage in mass slaughter across the Middle East has erased entire sections of western brain tissue leaving their owners with a pervasive amnesia regarding western elite lies.

All is forgiven. Western elite figures now hold the position once held by the congregations of saints revered by Christian denominations down the ages. These “saintly” figures lie their heads off and are considered found of wisdom. The majority of fake-justice-oversensitive and lie-blind liberal masses consider such as the CIA veritable oracles of all things past, present and future.

Now a mass brainwashing campaign using every possibly technological innovation available to western elites is being applied to double and triple-wash western brains to create the required fervour against Vladimir Putin and everything Russian. The pressure and complete abandonment of integrity is all-pervasive. That the world as a whole may be devastated and just possibly destroyed in a nuclear conflict is a side-issue.

Armageddon is simply another choice in an armoury of hate-fuelled weaponry directed at powers that have the temerity to rise just as the West is in decline and, due to 9/11 most needs to assert its supremacy and total global control to keep itself safe.

This is the nub of all that is happening now. It is not about Ukraine, it is not even, at its heart about Russia. Ultimately this is about the final war the USA and its allies intend to wag, that against its peer rival, China. A China that is waging no war against it. A China that seeks in constant fashion to improve the lot of its own by creating relationships, making investments and creating ever more innovative infrastructure with a view always to preserve the stability and peace that are vital for all these endeavours to succeed.

The cause of all the pain, suffering, death and destruction now occurring should properly be laid at the USA’s door and that of its complicit allies who in combination have driven Russia to finally act to safeguard its future by ensuring its national security. Ukraine was to be a constant thorn in its side and vehicle for undermining its president, system of governance and social cohesion. Who in their right mind who has honestly observed this geopolitical campaign to drive Russia to the point of complete distraction and ultimate loss of all patience can disagree with even the remotest justification? It is totally obvious, a no-brainer and clear to all with an enquiring mind not fixed by preconceptions, false notions and partisan loyalties?

But look at the vast gatherings of the brainwashed weeping over poor Ukraine devastated by an unprovoked attack by that great evil bear Russia. They know nothing but the utterly false scenario that has been placed squarely in their sponge-like skulls to replace what was left of cranial scepticism. They now resemble sheep driven by media cattle-prods into the abattoir of ideas where they are shorn of all sense and implanted with still further inclinations to indulge in the mass economic and quite possibly literal suicide that awaits them.

The levels of legalised criminality and insanity being perpetrated by western elites at this moment in time truly goes beyond the capacity of any lexicon. Their combined lunacy and irresponsibility makes you splutter, reaching out for appropriate terminology and failing miserably. And so I am reduced to street language to get my point across in a few words that attempt to get some image of my disgust across failing an image that is sometimes said to save a thousand words.

This is why the title of my present commentary uses foul language. For the very reason that the elites who say they MUST rule this world or there will be no world to rule are now exhibiting behaviour that makes words considered foul, to describe them and their behaviour as completely inadequate to the task.

PLUCKING WESTERN HEARTSTRINGS AND FUCKING WESTERN MINDS

PRIGOZHIN AND THE POTENTIAL FOR GREATER GLOBAL DAMAGE

Right at the moment Prigozhin, head of the Russian Wagner Group decided on his mutinous act today, the USA and India were celebrating a new start to their relations. Only a week or two ago it was clear that the U.S. elites had decided they must start love-bombing the Indians. It also appears that there was intent to do the same regarding the Chinese. These activities were obviously designed to effect two goals. To undermine Russia of course, giving the impression that it was more isolated than seemed to be the case, create a cleavage between these nations and Russia by drawing them by these means toward them, and to stop the drift of nations toward BRICS.

Of course much of the seeming success of the Modi visit to Washington may turn out to be superficial and will not affect India's relationship with Russia one whit. But these days so much store is set by appearances and these facades seem to have more power behind them than in the past. This due to the apparent fickle nature of nations at this time in the absence of overwhelming U.S. power. Nations are drifting toward allegiances in the east rather than the west these days. This shoring up operation is clearly an effort also to redress the balances, even if it is only a surface phenomenon rather than anything deeper. The political elites of the USA need an urgent confidence boost right now as events in Ukraine look like delivering them an even worse bout of humiliation than even the withdrawal from Afghanistan gave them.

And they need to give the appearance that it is they who are unified with the world not increasingly Russia. They desperately want to disrupt the idea that Russia is being accepted and that they are being left out in the cold.

Prigozhin has now given them a huge gift. The leaders of the collective west can now point to the "unstable" Russia that is revealing itself as a nation at war with itself and a militarised government that is on the edge of being replaced. That the replacement is just as fierce an enemy of them as he is against the Russian Ministry of Defence is irrelevant at this time when they see the potential to disturb how Russia is seen by the nations they want to bring back into the fold.

Biden has undermined the partial love-bombing operation that Blinken took part in, in Beijing, but the main one seems to have been wholly successful regarding India.

This wrong-foots Russia at a time when it appears the Ukrainian regime is readying a huge push, probably to coincide with the next meeting of its sponsors on July 10th.And just as multiple nations avidly seek to join BRICS.

It couldn't have come at a worse time if it was planned that way.

Happily for the Russian president, government and military a deal was done through assistance from Alexandr Grigorievič Lukašenko of Belarus. The details of the agreement made have still to be made public but are rumoured to include the replacement of Prigozhin as titular head of the Wagner Group and also Sergei Kuzhugetovich Shoigu, Minister of Defence of Russia and Valery Vasilyevich Gerasimov, Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Military.

For all intents and purposes the confusing events of the last 24 hours are resolved. The Wagner forces have returned to their bases and according to reports they will soon sign contracts to be linked inextricably to the Russian Army. Tomorrow it is thought attention will turn once again to defeating the Ukrainian enemy and the incremental liberation of the Donbass region.

Russia will, due to the brevity of this incident escape major damage, much to the chagrin of Zelensky, his entourage and western political support staff. The unity of the Russian people to act in support of their president in times of danger to national sovereignty appears to have been bolstered. The last 24 hours will be forgotten quite quickly due to this short episode at the end of Prigozhin’s time as Wagner’s master of ceremonies. Just as long as this is indeed the end of this particularly hazardous road.

CAN THERE BE AN END TO THE UKRAINE WAR BEFORE NUCLEAR ANNIHILATION?

Most of us clearly believe in the justice of one side or another having the greater degree of supportive historical precedent regarding the conflict in Ukraine. We believe that, this side or that is totally justified in its actions and the other totally wrong. However, I suspect this violent conflict showing no signs of winding down, but on the contrary only being escalated to greater and greater heights, has moved far beyond such easy to understand concepts.

We are in an area of many shades of grey.

By most expert accounts Russia did attempt to mount a campaign where a minimal number of civilian casualties would be created and where an equally minimal amount of damage to vital infrastructure and the minimal damage to the most fundamental civilian needs would occur. However, initial, hopeful goals of a short campaign where the Ukrainian authorities would accept Russian demands faced with the consequences of not doing so, did not transpire.

Backed by the western powers to the hilt Zelensky took an entirely different path to that which I suspect the Russians believed he might. They appeared to have banked on an outcome where Zelensky bowed to the pressure he was under to finally implement the minsk agreements.

It is clear that the Russians very much hoped for a peaceful outcome for hadn’t they tried for seven long years to achieve this? In February last year they desired to end the conflict with as little death and destruction as possible. It is not a fiction that Russians feel extremely close in many ways to the Ukrainian people. Putin himself wrote a long essay on this topic. For most Russians, Ukrainians are, simply put, their brothers and sisters. Tragically for the Ukrainians and also for the Russians this war has become an internecine conflict, a battle within a family almost and this can’t help but make both sides grieve due to this tragedy.

Russia is hurting… but the Ukrainian people are quite clearly hurting more. Millions have left Ukraine seeking safety from the storm that has embodied them and which is none of their doing. Hundreds of thousands of families have been split apart with men having to stay, and possibly fight. To possibly die. In Russia the anxiety without doubt runs deep due to that most feared occurrence within Russian society has returned once more to haunt them. There must be few, if any societies that fear the effects of war more than that of Russia.

Now, as the conflict escalates more and more the number dying and being grievously injured is rising to new heights. Ukraine has mounted an offensive against now heavily built up lines of defence in the areas they have taken in the Donbass. It is clear that whatever the Ukrainian people may want, their leaders and their supporters among the western powers, want to escalate in order to achieve a better bargaining position.

What of the West and how their political elites see things? What of the general public?

In Europe there has been a huge outpouring of fellow-feeling for Ukraine and for Ukrainians. Many households shelter Ukrainians in their hour of greatest need. There has been a huge outpouring of anger too, against Russia. Russia is seen as having brought the evil scourge of war to their doorstep and, due to there being no understanding of the long timeline since 2014 and even less concerning Russian motivations only one side of this coin is being seen. Indeed a general consensus that there can be NO adequate motivation for what is going on is held as an uninspected fact. Therefore, in the West we have a purely one-sided view of the conflict.

Western mainstream press and media have, from the start, taken the view that there can be no possible justification for Russia’s attack upon Ukraine, that it is totally without merit, unjustifiable, unwarranted and unprovoked. This very simple analysis is generally, as far as anyone can tell, held to be true by the vast majority of westerners. Though not by all it must be said. Most westerners believe that Russia has no case whatsoever to pursue this war and hold the opinion that this is a case of pure evil and a deadly, highly oppressive and destructive evil at that. The case regarding a full rendering of justice for BOTH sides is therefore closed.

Western political leadership both leads and reflects this black and white view by the general public described above that permeates western societies across Europe and in the United States. With press, media, public and political elites all thinking and acting as one there is no appetite at all for compromise or for giving any thought whatsoever to the Russian position.

What is the Russian position?

The leadership of Russia considers that what it is doing in Ukraine is an existential necessity for Russians and the Russian state. They consider that Russia has been brought to make a decision it attempted to avoid for seven years where they pursued the peaceful goals of the Minsk process. They feel the western world has been consistently aggressive using Ukraine as a battering ram with which to shake the foundations of their nation. They observed NATO coming ever closer, and over the last two decades have attempted to get their message over to the western powers. This was predicted by the architect of the West’s containment policy of the Soviet Union, Mr George Kennan who said it explicitly. His life work was to manage the West’s relationship with Russia and he saw his life’s work being ruined by the advancement of NATO upon Russia.

Where is all this going?

At this point in time we have a dangerous, highly entangled mess where compromise on neither side looks at all likely. In fact the prospects for this appear to recede further with every day that passes. One escalation follows another with both sides completely unable or unwilling to back down but seeing only the necessity to counter the tactics of the other with ever greater determination. Where that will eventually lead and by use of what further tactical approaches or involving what advanced weaponry can only be a matter for speculation, but at this point there are no good signs to provide hope that a halt will be called at any given point along the way.

What of the rest of the world?

Our world is again at war. Though having said that, in reality it is only two portions of our world to whom this war represents an existential issue. Most of the global south see it as a hopefully limited quarrel in a distant location that they hope will not spill over in too many aspects onto them. For them it is an unpleasant occurrence equivalent to a bitter and noisy dispute between two neighbours within earshot that disturbs the relative calm of their own lives.

These are incredibly dangerous times. Two powerful blocs with opposing belief systems are locked in battle. Neither can afford to lose and both are utterly determined to win.

The weapons each is willing to use are not particularly limited in scale or power and dangerously, even the most extreme may be contemplated as each new rupture in relations between them takes place.

The end result which everyone fears of course hardly requires a mention to clarify it. As the stakes become ever higher for both sides who feel that losing would mean absolute disaster for them and therefore they MUST win and by every means possible… or risk annihilation, humiliation and destruction of all hope, respect and security we must all ask ourselves if they will halt at the doorway to that final weapon of all weapons that has the potential to annihilate us all.

UKRAINE: IF THE COLLECTIVE WEST WINS, WHAT DOES THE FUTURE HOLD?

We are living through World War Three, thankfully, as yet, without the use of nuclear weapons.

World War Three, the final world war, was always going to be about the overall geopolitical environment to prevail for whatever future humanity has on this planet.

Especially so due to the events that took place in the USA on the eleventh of September 2001 this war was brought into being, though it could be argued that the foundations had been laid long before predicated upon the ethos of exceptionalism in North America and concepts of national supremacy in the United Kingdom.

These two nations are by far the main instigators of this war to supposedly end all wars. Their absolute determination to impose liberal hegemony on all nations they consider to be under their patrician umbrella of sanctified judicial command was always going to bring about this result. However, 9/11 put rocket boosters under their determination and brought forward to the maximum any previous plans to achieve the universal hegemony they believe is theirs by right.

The opposition of Vladimir Putin to the demand that the USA, UK and their allies be allowed global supervision rights along with unquestioned authority, ability to punish offenders at will with interventions up to an including military attacks and invasion was totally unacceptable.

Similarly, the economic rise of China presented another huge challenge to unquestioned western control and supervision rights, demanded an unending campaign be mounted to counter this threat to western hegemony.

These are the building blocks to the situation today in Ukraine where Russia is exerting its right to ensure its security within its sphere of influence. The necessity to do everything possible to subvert and collapse the Russian will is virtually without limit except for any acts that would instigate a nuclear exchange. All other means are being used against Russia just as they will be in future against China where an excuse will certainly be created, most likely in relation to Taiwan if other provocations designed to initiate such a situation fail.

What will be the outcome of such conflicts if they eventuate in a successful campaign by the USA, UK and allies against Russia and China? What would the inevitable next steps be if the leadership of both nations is decapitated and replaced along with their present systems of governance?

Certainly there would be an insistence that Iran, Syria, Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua and other ‘problem child’ nations be made to submit.

If these too fall to the collective west, what then?

In my considered opinion those surviving could wave goodbye to anything approaching freedom of choice in regard to political choice and preference for systems of governance outside a limited spectrum. The unchallenged supremacy of the USA and its allies would prevail in each and every circumstance where politics and systems of governance were concerned.

In addition the present surveillance systems of the NSA and others would be further honed and developed to monitor all behaviour and with especial focus on all potential “subversive” activity that challenged the new status quo.

What other world could possibly await us than a de facto prison planet where populations are constantly observed for tell-tale signs of discontent, the formation of disaffected groups and gatherings of suspicious kinds that may threaten good order?

Be careful what you wish for if you are wishing with all your heart for Russia’s campaign to fail.

You may just be wishing for your own imprisonment.

THE BIG BULLY’S BASTARD SON HAS LET THE FAMILY DOWN

The Ukrainian regime is failing to achieve the West’s goals. In fact the regime is getting punched out of the ring currently. Zelensky and his spoilt brats call and call for their “father” to come and help them, but while the brats whine, composite Big Daddy is starting to lose patience and instead of shouting his “son” on is beginning to get irritated with him and is now naming his flaws and faults. Sonny Boy, enraged by this, now wants to kick his Daddy in the shins. Meanwhile, the target of both their venomous rage has the beginnings of a very broad smile on his face.

Let’s face it, the Ukrainian regime is losing hand over fist. Its gamble, believing with the West behind it, it was invincible, was seen as a ‘sure thing’. Unhappily for the Kiev regime and due to its negligence in not studying the West’s recent failures in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Yemen and Syria more closely, now finds itself being prodded in the back toward the entrance to a massive meat grinder. The regime has no one to blame but itself however. Being a poor student it failed to understand that the motivation of the “enemy” along with its resources was far stronger than it even in combination with a western world used to attempting its military victories on the cheap.

The West, with its ‘Coalition of the Willing’ learnt its expensive lesson in both Afghanistan and Iraq. Boots on the ground meant great loss of both blood AND treasure. That era was over after both wars backed by invasions became ultra-expensive debacles. They would use others to fight their battles now. And so it was in Syria and Yemen, and in regard to the U.S, Libya too. Things were going to be done on the cheap now. Too bad for the regime in Kiev. It made a fatal mistake, that is abundantly clear at this point and despite the “heroic” efforts of western mass media to paint an eternally rosy picture of its chances.

Look. The big bully of the West is now showing clear signs of exasperation. But this too is inappropriate. That bully didn’t realise it was passed its prime. It failed to understand that its time had passed and that its notions of overwhelming power were out of date. Did it make some effort to educate itself regarding these new circumstances? Apparently not. Its ignorance of the nations it perceived as enemies appears to have been profound. In the case of Ukraine it totally underestimated the resolve and capacity of Vladimir Putin and Russia to fight off all threats to them. And not only that but to effect serious damage on them by using their own misused strengths against them.

It is well known that Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is well versed in the martial arts of Asia. He knows exactly how to approach a fight, analysing the various strengths of his opponent. He has the acumen in these matters to minimise his own efforts while exploiting those of his opponent. Those who stand against such a man should take the time to estimate him in the minutest detail. It is abundantly clear to all and sundry now that neither the Zelensky regime, the European powers, the British goons nor the reptilian yankee warmongers did. And now they will pay the full entrance fee to this debacle of their own making.

The art of war takes meticulous study. There are many masters from whom excellent, incisive advice based on decades of study can be gleaned. Waterfalls of PR facades where sham victories are announced with great fanfare simply won’t cut it. Not next to an army acting as a human meat grinder they won't. For those whose intent was to look deeply in an attempt to learn the realities rather than exploit fantasies, this was clear from the start. Of course no war is ever TOTALLY one-sided where the winning side makes not a single error. Errors there have been on both sides. But the side making by far the most errors and where the other side has massively more resources, is destined from the get go, to lose.

Russia has thumbed its nose at the Big Bully of the West and lived to tell the tale.

Sent to face Russia the Big Bully’s whining and ever-needy son has been no match for her. She will now proceed to wipe the floor with this weedy stick Zelensky and his snarling Nazi clones. There can now be no doubt even among the chest-beating redneck neocons such as the Nuland numptie. This thing is over. Your squealing, pitifully demanding, spoiled little no neck, is about to be taken in a head lock.

Will the West let its mini monster die? I suspect it will. It will simply turn its back on the brat and seek its next victim to bully. Will it make a wiser choice next time?

I doubt it.