THE WEST'S WAR IN UKRAINE - HOW'S IT GOING?

Western politicians & pundits are cranking up the rhetoric as the Ukrainian conflict nears its conclusion, a huge Russian win. How will this be spun in the West, and what will they do in the meantime?

HOW ARE WESTERN POLITICAL ELITES & PUNDITS COPING?

You can understand the motivation of western politicians and the tame pundits who appear on western news programmes and talk shows discussing the conflict in Ukraine. They daren’t face facts. They don't want to confront what it would mean for them to halt the conflict and seek a negotiated settlement. They are determined to simply kick the can further down the road and just maybe, somehow or other, they can get out of this without having to eat crow. People often have short memories, especially if they have been conditioned through incessant misinformation for years on end. This is their great hope. 

They assume that there will be a big uproar when Ukraine finally goes down. This is unavoidable. But they know well that those folks within mainstream media ALSO got Ukraine totally wrong so they will tend to minimise the publicity and will mirror the fabricated narrative that has been concocted and pre-cooked. 

It appears that what they have fixed upon is a lie they think the largely already grossly misinformed and conditioned public will believe, that Russia wanted all of Ukraine and they failed in that ambition. In fact there is no evidence whatsoever that this was the Russian goal, far, far from it. Russia would want this like a hole in the head as the saying goes. Indeed, Putin struggled manfully from the start of all this in 2014 to ensure that Ukraine stayed intact and sovereign. His major concern was to safeguard the safety and autonomy of the Russian-speakers in eastern Ukraine who were, from 2014 under major military attack by the Ukrainian military and associated ultranationalist militias. 

At no time did Russia wish to grasp the poisoned chalice that is Ukraine. Russia was only pushed into mounting what was meant to be a limited campaign to get the Ukrainian regime to fulfil its promise to give the Russian-speakers enough autonomy to guarantee their safety and the ability to continue the pro-Russian ethos, culture and affiliation that was an integral part of their way of life on the border with Russia in eastern Ukraine.

So, together the politicians speak from the same hymn sheet stating that all will go to plan if we just keep going by throwing ever more money and, if available, weapons and munitions at Ukraine. If, finally, it all goes belly up we’ll say that Russia failed to take all of Ukraine so it’s really a success, not a failure even if it might look that way. If not enough people are falling for this fairy tale they can say that well, it was all Ukraine’s fault. They got it all wrong, not us. They didn’t do what we said. If they had done so everything would have been hunky-dory and they (and we) would have won. They will keep all heads under the parapet whereever possible and point at Ukraine when it all comes crashing down. The big hope is that people are already conditioned, or ignorant enough, so that they can sneak away untarnished. That's how the political and media mind works. You have surely seen this all before as they are both entirely predictable.

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UKRAINE: WAR AS THE THEATRE OF THE ABSURD

This conflict has been treated as a theatre production all along by the Ukrainian regime, or at least the two or three spokesperson who speak for it. The audience is if course the entire population of the western world and the transmission agencies western press and media. It really didn't matter what fabrications were fed to the transmitting agents it was believed implicitly by all and sundry. That all and sundry included all western politicians whose intelligence officers knew well to only convey positives up the line. In total this all fed into the required 'war mode' way of thinking. We are always right and doing well and the others are always wrong and being constantly defeated. As in other recent western military disasters this has led to the blind leading the blind... and it is still going on. Those blind mice are of course headed for the cliff edge where they will fall over one after another.

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MORE BLOOD MONEY FOR UKRAINE?

More money for Ukraine equates only to more dead Ukrainians. Speak peace for real, not as a rhetorical tactic. Ukraine is currently losing a new high total of just under 1,000 per day dead and wounded.

If western leaders want to consult their consciences rather than their likelihood of getting re-elected they must pressure every colleague to vote to end this.

The further this goes on the more dead and mutilated Ukrainians there will be and the more territory lost to Russian forever. But politically U.S. politicians are likely to just keep the whole thing rolling on and hope they can keep their heads below the parapet when the whole thing goes completely belly up. Like with Afghanistan.

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WHO IS IN THE RIGHT, RUSSIA OR UKRAINE?

Anyone who saw what was happening from 2014 onwards or knows anything about the near decade of the Ukrainian army and its vicious militia cohorts shelling civilians all across the Donbass region and has observed that, seeing the dead bodies of children, men and women of all ages in the process, certainly wants the Russians to win.

(This entire period where the Ukrainians army and its minions shelled and killed thousands upon thousands of innocent civilians across the entire Donbass was hidden from exposure in the western world by both western politicians and media. This should tell you EVERYTHING you need to know about what's going on.)

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INTEL MASSAGED FOR POLITICAL PURPOSES

In previous years, prior to 9/11, the intelligence services of the USA, UK and EU could be relied upon to hold political and military concerns at arms length because their job was to get as near a completely clear view as possible on the reality of the geopolitical situation. The political class needed to hear as close to the reality as possible in order to hone their political actions to that reality. To obtain this reality the intelligence agencies could not afford to take a one-sided, prejudiced view, i.e. seeing western aims and actions as all good and the opposing sides aims and actions as all bad. They had to try to take as objective a view as possible so that an overall, as accurate as possible picture could be obtained that would assist in the decision-making process. 

After 9/11 all intelligence agencies were, by one means or another, either by overt demands or subtle inferences made to graduate toward providing what was wanted rather than providing what was objectively known. Those who provided what those in Washington, Whitehall or Brussels wanted to hear received plaudits, gold stars and promotion. Those who didn't were seen as suspicious, perhaps leaning toward the enemy and bad for morale. That sort of thing gets around and the resultant blind ignorance is what we saw all around the West now in both the political and mass media fields. And most of it stems from the shock of and aftershocks from 9/11.

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WAR RUSSIA EVER GOING TO LOSE THIS?

Russia was never going to contemplate losing this conflict as such a result would have existential implications for Russia stretching on for the foreseeable future. If Russia was to lose it would have NATO on its doorstep. This was not only seen in terms of an active military threat by NATO but also in terms of the constant destabilising factor of its presence and the absolutely predictable overt and covert manipulation of that presence against Russia in a constant effort to undermine the state from below. Any and all resultant effects of a loss in this conflict by Russia was quite likely in the medium to long term to see renewed chaos brought to Russia by a multitude of sources pressing home the plan to weaken Russia and break it up into parts. Russia was NEVER going to let ANY of this happen.

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WILL THE NEOCONS MARCH ON TO THE NEXT TARGET AFTER UKRAINE COLLAPSES?

The calculus of much neoconservative thinking appears to be based on a concept that is rapidly ceasing to be true, that the USA has such military might that it can shell and slaughter any number of nations and make them change into some kind of shape the neocons consider kosher. 

Nations, tooled up with better weapons than ever, with smart missiles and bombs and increasingly smart intel and AI-driven drones, see all the weaknesses the USA is now laying bare. The USA as it is now can’t cope with all the problems and their complexity that are rising now to confront their obsession with global interference.

Like one of those titanic dinosaurs that came to the end of its evolutionary niche and was brought down by a horde of much smaller creatures, the neocon elites of the USA, stuck in their long-ago mindset of the mighty USA able to do whatever it wants to whoever it wants whenever it wants,  are in for a shock to their system. Predators are circling and vultures will soon follow.