The goal of the western powers is to inflict a major defeat on Russia. It was this abiding goal that brought Boris Johnson to Kiev in April 2022 with a message to Volodymyr Zelensky to end negotiations toward a peaceful resolution that had proven so fruitful in Istanbul that month. Soon after the champagne cork had been popped (as confirmed by Oleksiy Arestovych, former adviser to Zelensky) the talks were completely abandoned by Ukraine. The initial phone call from Russia to the Ukrainians suggesting negotiations had been made the day Russia’s special military operation began, February 24th 2022. Now, so close to a settlement Ukraine withdrew and from that day to this has pursued war at the behest, request (or demand) of the western powers.
Ukraine was from the day of that fateful decision to pursue war rather than peace, thrust into a war that the western powers insisted it wage. This was a war the Russians had intended should never happen and which it had attempted for almost a decade to avoid through negotiations to end the threat to the Russian-speaking population of eastern Ukraine and to themselves. With over half a million dead or wounded since that day we are now fast arriving at the point where either peace negotiations resume or an even more dangerous phase of the war begins. In the next few days we are most likely going to hear an ultimatum from the western powers and from Joe Biden of the USA and Keir Starmer of the UK specifically.
The Ukrainian regime has been pleading for many months now to be allowed to strike targets deep within Russia with the long range missiles supplied by the western powers, the USA, Britain and France by name. Of course it is well known that the Kiev regime does not have the ability to obtain precise targeting information required to program these weapons, nor the technicians proficient in the sophisticated software required for them. When these missiles hit targets within Russia the Russians will know very well who, in reality, was at war with them. The western powers. And will respond appropriately.
It is thought that Russia has the capacity, after the launch of many satellite systems over the past two years, to take out western satellites and apparently to take out many or even most of them. This is estimated to be the most effective blow against the West, one that would case no human casualties but one that would blind those programming the missiles that hit them. Without these satellites the West could neither precisely program their attacks nor deliver much need data to the Ukrainian army as regards Russian positions, through Starlink for instance. Of course, if the Russians were sufficiently enraged a response that would not be as bloodless could well eventuate. That and the green light to Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, the Houthis and others to unleash the Russian weapons provided to them on targets in the West or linked closely to the West.
Most likely perhaps is that Biden and Starmer would not announce an immediate go ahead for strikes deep within Russia but would use the threat of this to force concessions of some kind from the Russians. In recent weeks it has become clear that the Russians are steadily making ever greater gains against a Ukrainian army that is fast becoming demoralized. The last throw of the dice by the Kiev regime, the incursion into Russia’s Kursk region, is failing fast. Progress has stalled with Russia having readied defensive lines in front of Kursk City and the nearby Nuclear power plant and the increasing success of Russian troops advancing on the Ukrainians and driving them back. The West needs some new angle to give it leverage as all else is failing. All the so-called game changers weapons have failed to do any such thing. The stark reality of certain failure and the humiliation of defeat and worldwide recognition of a debacle at the hands of the West looms. A last, most desperate and reckless strategy now beckons.
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