Just because everything is going wrong for the USA and its allies currently no one should ever believe they have run out of options. This will never happen… until the ultimate quarantining of them through the rise of all others. This point is still (by my estimation) several decades in the future. Until the point is reached where a combination of a gargantuan national debt, social implosion and economic ruin hit the collective west will continue to hit out in an effort to, in any way it can, subvert those rising powers.
Looking at the situation in Ukraine currently more and more are saying the obvious, that Ukraine cannot win. The latecomers to this realization are tardy indeed, this much became obvious when Russia’s ability to continue its military campaign was assured by, one, effectively neutering and reversing the effect of sanctions on Russia and company withdrawal from Russia, and two through Russia’s longtime trading partners remaining in place and added to by others. Russia was then able to ramp up its military industrial complex, innovate and afford an ever more massive military force complete with all necessary training and weaponry.
Yet the above does not mean that Russia will conclusively win in Ukraine. This could only come about if both the Ukrainians and their sponsors come to terms and cease fighting. The Ukrainians of course cannot suffer their ever-accumulating losses into the indefinite future. This is not sustainable. However, western strategic planners will certainly devise a means whereby no permanent peace is ever established that yet preserves an adequate number of Ukrainian forces to continue to be a very expensive thorn in Russia’s side.
The tactic most likely to be used will come into operation sometime over the next six months. It is clear to all sides that Russia is an unstoppable force yet this will not cause the dismay that you may think. The object of the Kiev regime’s sponsors is not and never was to retain all territories claimed by Ukraine. It was simply to keep the conflict going indefinitely. Yes, there will have been a large number of diverse goals from the potential of sanctions to weaken Russia significantly, the turning of world opinion against Putin and Russia was certainly another goal. But as the time window when these events could potentially have occurred passed other goals, primarily keeping Russia fighting, came into greater focus.
It does not matter one whit if Russia takes all the territory all the way to the eastern bank of the Dnieper river, at least in the southern regions of Ukraine. What matters is that Russia continues to be bled to the greatest degree possible. There will be no peace negotiations except in some sham form used by the Kiev regime for yet another public relations and/or strategy of betrayal exercise where its forces are built up in order to better hit Russia hard when the little bit of theater indulged in by the regime is over. The puppet masters will of course have everything stage managed to a t. Whether Russia will engage with this theatrical performance is doubtful however on the basis of twice bitten thrice shy.
With Russia holding and having to expend large amounts on all the territory from the Russian border to the Dnieper and with the regime’s guerrilla forces wreaking havoc through both west-Ukraine based and eastern sleeper cell operatives, merry hell can quite easily be created among the vast number of desolate locations which Russia will be continually encouraged to take on more highly-paid troops to guard. Being careful not to act too openly the USA and its allies will ensure the regime receives whatever appropriate means it requires to do Russia the greatest damage in all forms from material to reputational. The war being waged by the puppet masters and their puppet will certainly be continuous.
If however the above tactics are seen as insufficient or too slow in having the desired deleterious effect on Russia and Putin’s reputation it is possible that yet another, and far more radical option may be countenanced. This could entail a strike at Russia’s general relationship with its major trading partners. The aim would be to goad Russia into deploying a low-yield nuclear device, perhaps of one kiloton or so. The reputational damage of Russia using such a device would be severe and the goading mechanism would therefore have to be equally severe. This quite obviously would involve major strikes on Russian high value targets far within Russia’s borders. Always remember that the Ukrainian regime has a media fig leaf all across the eastern mainstream. It is almost impossible to get Ukrainian war crimes, crimes against humanity or in fact any negative factor of even moderate severity into western mainstream news of any kind.
Of course Kiev would hit military targets at first, airports, fuel dumps and barracks, but as has been seen lately, non-military targets would also be hit with impunity, oil refineries and such like. Hitting these would naturally hurt the Russian high command, at least reputationally within Russia if they continued long enough and were devastating enough. But these would not be enough in themselves to have the goading effect necessary to make Russia unleash the power and contaminating effect of a nuclear device, even a small one of one kiloton. A series of direct strikes on central locations within Moscow, St. Petersburg and other major Russian cities would be required to stimulate this.
Later this month the Ukrainian regime is due to receive missiles which will be able to reach at least Moscow and St Petersburg. These are the JASSM cruise missiles which come in variants with ranges of 350 and 850 kilometers.
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Wikipedia:
‘The AGM-158 Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile (AGM-158 JASSM) is a low detection standoff air-launched cruise missile developed by Lockheed Martin for the United States Armed Forces. It is a large, stealthy long-range weapon with a 1,000-pound (450 kg) armor piercing warhead. There is an extended range version of the missile, the AGM-158B JASSM-ER (Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile-Extended Range) as well as an anti-ship derivative, the AGM-158C LRASM (Long Range Anti-Ship Missile).
In August 2024 the US was reportedly considering supplying JASSM missiles to Ukraine.
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Though such attacks on Russian cities as envisaged above would clearly be a major escalation the mainstream media, guided as it is by attention to western state requirements at all times could be relied upon to apply a soft touch and even to infer subtle approval in regard to such attacks. To assist in this endeavor a certain amount of care would be taken by those within the West providing targeting coordinates (and in reality having hands-on control of these devices) to kill only up to something like twenty to fifty Russian civilians with nighttime strikes on targets planned for such outcomes. With enough such strikes there is a reasonably good chance that their ultimate object would be achieved.
With the Ukrainian authorities now in Lvov rather than in Kiev, or, more likely located outside the territory of Ukraine altogether, the campaign against the Russians could be continued with relative impunity. Russian retaliatory strikes would be largely impotent in effect as the people Russia most wanted to effect would most likely no longer be in-country. All the while the nations of the collective west would naturally be denying that they were in control and therefore responsible for these strikes. The Russians of course even now know otherwise and that the Ukrainians don’t have oversight of satellite targeting coordinates nor the technical know how to hit the targets concerned. However, the Russians would remain extremely averse to hitting targets within the West due to the potentially catastrophic consequences involved. As Professor John J. Mearsheimer has stated on occasion however, a Russian nuclear strike on Ukraine would not generate any risk on this score from Ukraine and, for the same reasons Russia will not attack a NATO nation, no NATO nation would respond to a Russian nuclear attack on Ukraine by launching a nuclear strike against Russia.
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