If the USA/UK/EU hits major targets within the Russian Federation in aid of the Kiev regime, what will Russia's response be?
With Zelensky putting the onus on Russia to seek peace (after presumably being hit internally to achieve this) it is pretty clear that he and his western supporters wish to continue the war with this in mind. They see no percentage at all in seeking peace themselves. Clearly being able to hit targets some 350 to 850 km within Russia (the maximum range using current missile availability from the West) is vital to this goal.
With this being a fairly clear next step (once the U.S. political elite is on board) it is logical for Russia to seek to supply those who are engaging elements of the West such as the Houthis of Yemen with powerful weapons with which to counter this move. Subversion of western assets by sabotage groups would appear a natural response also. (As warned of by Russia in recent months.) This is most probably already happening in anticipation of the green light being eventually given by the USA for strikes up to 850 km within Russia by Scalp, Stormshadow, ATACAMS and JASSMs.
Of course it is common knowledge that the strikes above would essentially be western nation/NATO strikes upon Russia as the Ukrainians do not have the satellite/technical assets to do this. This knowledge, known by all and sundry at this point is undoubtedly the reason the Americans are extremely wary of allowing this, and of course, the inevitable Russian response. Hopefully Russia has organized enough weaponry in enough places to deliver an adequate response to those first hits on Russian territory outside the current allowed sphere.
To have this response capacity fully in place and ready to go at a moment’s notice is a no-brainer and it can be expected that this has indeed been done or is in the active process of preparation to achieve full readiness. If I had to guess I would say that the primary response would come from Russian military assets in Iran. This would in part explain why we have seen no obvious major attack from Iran after the Israeli/US killing of the Hamas chief in Tehran. Assisting the Yemenis would be my second area of major effect if the go-ahead was given to Kiev to strike deeper within Russia. I would expect that any remaining UK bases that have any anti-western groupings nearby would also be a favored area to initiate supply. Arming the Syrians, Cubans, Venezuelans, Nicaraguans and all other groupings/nations antipathetic to western aggression would also be an effective longer term response and something once again being prepared on a continual basis.
If the above is being done it is occurring extremely discreetly. I would have expected a plethora of articles to emerge based as usual only on suppositions at some point. Or, perhaps, some leak might emerge that reveals some actual movement of weaponry in one of the locations above.
Every time a western power has refused to send some weapon or give some authorization to the Kiev regime it has eventually rescinded this decision and sent that weapon or given its assent. This final provision of assent to strike deeper into the Russian Federation will come. As I see it, it is only a matter of time. The Russian response is being readied. Note the recent announcement that Russia’s nuclear protocols on the use of nuclear devices is currently being updated.
Apart from the arming of anti-western groups and nations the Kremlin is no doubt looking at its options in regard to a direct strike by Russia on US/UK/EU/NATO assets. A limited nuclear strike will however be the last possible choice for the Russians. The inevitable bad and damaging publicity this would cause will be something the Kremlin will wish to avoid if at all possible. However, major strikes on high value locations within Russia, especially targeting Moscow and St Petersburg would sorely tempt the Kremlin into making a devastating response. Provoking Russia into unleashing even a limited nuclear missile strike may be just what Ukraine and its western sponsors are hoping for. The stakes for them are that high with the West losing ever more influence and the Ukrainian regime quite clearly losing the war. It all now hangs in balance at this crucial point in human history… for all of us.
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