Sunday, 20 October 2024

ARE WE NEARING THE END OF THE UKRAINE WAR? IF SO… WHAT THEN?

It appears the Ukraine war may end a few months from now in a ceasefire. Will the sides then move toward permanent peace and, in the years ahead, find mutually longed-for reconciliation?

Both sides are without doubt extremely weary of this war. Neither side wants more of their troops killed or wounded. All know the grief families and friends have suffered during this war. The Ukrainian and Russian people are brother and sister Slavs who undoubtedly would rather have any present or future in preference to this war. 

The Ukraine war began, as is usual for almost all wars, purely as a result of elite ambition. Extremely few, if any wars, ever began as a result of a popular uprising against another nation. Therefore, left to the everyday people of both nations there would be no war, no mass death, no destruction, no misery and no grief. The elites if they had their way would have to resolve their ambitions some other way. Not through them as pawns in their game.

This is why I see the next six to twelve months as the best opportunity in almost three years to reassert the will of the people of Ukraine and to end their domination by extremists. I have not a single doubt that they are thoroughly sick of this war and desperately want an end to it. Equally, the Russian-speaking people of the Donbass region who have suffered the loss of over ten thousand of their number at the hands of the Ukrainian military since 2014 wish this also. 

The time is approaching when those elites, who exerted the pressure to make this war happen and who have been endlessly fueling this war, will cease to push for ever more war. This at last will create the opportunity for an end to this war that the people of both sides have hoped and longed for during these years of military tragedy.

So… how will it be arranged? What is it that makes this time, almost three years into this war, the time when the hopes and dreams of everyday people of both sides can be realized? What are the circumstances we see now that provide hope for this kind of belated optimism?

The main reason for hope is that the western sponsors of the Ukrainian regime have reached the end of their capacity and willingness to further arm the regime in Kiev, reducing delivery of both funds and armaments and closing the door to the regime’s effective ability to fight defensively or to escalate the war significantly. With no prospect of Ukraine being invited to join NATO; no authorization for Ukraine to fire missiles deep inside Russian territory and no willingness by NATO nations to intervene in Ukraine directly Kiev is running out of road.

Without the direct support of the UKrainian regime detailed above it cannot possibly win against the Russian military. It will therefore have no capacity to hold back the ever-strengthening Russian force. It will, in light of all this, be forced to agree to negotiations in which I predict the political elites of the United States will dominate. Further changes will inevitably follow on from the above and from the determination of the Ukrainian people to once again experience peace, stability and responsible leadership in their land.

I predict we will see, over the next months and years, a sequence of events mirroring to some degree, the following:

  1. The USA, then UK (v. reluctantly) and EU states agree they have come to the end of line in regard to military support for the Ukrainian regime.
  2. The Kiev regime is then pressured by the above powers to end its military campaign against the Russian forces in the Donbass.
  3. Negotiations (including the USA) begin to finalize a way forward where a permanent ceasefire can be agreed.
  4. Eventually a ceasefire is indeed agreed.
  5. New elections are arranged within what remains of Ukraine. These elections will bring a new president and government into being. It will also contain a referendum with quite possibly a number of questions, all of which will, in one form or another, concern the question of future relations with Russia.
  6. A new president and government is duly elected which is at least neutral regarding Russia if not overtly pro-Russia.
  7. The new government will change the constitution of Ukraine to once again state that it will remain neutral and not join any military bloc.
  8. The new president and government of Ukraine will begin the slow road to reconciliation with Russia as one of its two primary trading areas.
  9. The Donbass region will be built up to Russian standards while at the same time Ukraine will be built up by a combination of EU state grants and private western corporations.
  10. Slowly but surely the two former warring nations, Russia and Ukraine will resume where the Maidan coup of 2014 separated them.

This is what I hope for both Russia and Ukraine. Ultimately, over a generation, two at the most, a recognition of all that they share and a huge decrease toward zero, regarding their differences and what separates them. They are one people who share a difficult past with different loyalties emerging from their historical experience. But, with the perseverance, trust and goodwill of th majority, constantly sidelining the minorities who wish to emphasize their differences, we can hope to see a wonderful rebirth of the Slavic family in the East.


Saturday, 19 October 2024

WESTERN & UKRAINIAN ELITES ARE GETTING THEIR MUD READY FOR SLINGING

When the sh*t hits the fan and both Western & Ukrainian fantasies of "victory" over Russia totally evaporate... that's when the absolute mother of all blame games will start.

The truth cannot be tolerated, therefore comforting delusion must take its place. In tandem with this selective delusion many excuses must and will have been long-prepared. No one wants to be left holding the mewling Ukrainian baby when this is all over. A sufficient amount of mud must therefore be prepared by both sides to hit the other with to escape responsibility.

Biden continues to surround himself in a mirage of misplaced breast-beating over Ukraine rather than face up to anything as onerous as the facts on the ground. Those facts are of course incredibly hard to face considering that both he and Zelensky believe themselves to be totally in the right and to them the concept of defeat is entirely alien. However, that defeat is on its way and Biden and Zelensky will do their darndest to escape responsibility for it.

Meanwhile, as the mud is gathered behind closed doors… Ukraine goes from one defeat to another, with Zelensky talking all the while of an eventual victory. One that was never going to come. He appears blind to the stark reality facing him, the reality of imminent defeat. There is a theory going around however that he is fully aware of the imminent defeat and is preparing the ground, and all his excuses for an eventual blame-free exit.

For the time being all such concerns are washed away by means of one total fantasy or another. However, if you look closely you will see the fantasies talked of above beginning to leak at the seams. For Biden and Zelensky it is becoming ever more important to have a range of believable excuses ready for when the shit finally does hit the fan:

THE USA WILL BLAME ZELENSKY UPON UKRAINE’S DEFEAT

The material no doubt being prepared as you read this will state that the Ukrainian leadership failed to provide adequate intelligence concerning either its strategy or success/failure on the battlefield. It will say that the USA and its allies gave everything the Ukrainian regime asked for but the endemic corruption and sheer incompetence of its army made it inevitable that it would lose. Time and again we will hear that the USA et al did everything possible to assist Ukraine, gave everything needed to win, but due to massive disorganisation and failure to take advice, the end result that has transpired was inevitable.

ZELENSKY WILL BLAME USA & WEST UPON UKRAINE’S DEFEAT

Neither Zelensky nor any of those in the front line of Ukraine’s leadership are going to capitulate. Not unless they finally realize that the USA and its allies have decided they are a lost cause and refuse to march forward with them into WWIII. Some speculate that this was why Zelensky delivered a completely delusional ‘Victory Plan’ this week. The theory is that he has created a clearly unattainable plan precisely so that he can blame his western sponsors for Ukraine’s defeat when they refuse his unreasonable plans.

Zelensky and his minions have been acting in defiant fashion all along, nothing was ever enough for them, forever calling for more of this, that and the next thing that they said would enable them to “win”. Nothing that was sent ever did the trick. Now Zelensky has created an ultimatum to the West in the form of his ‘Victory Plan’.

Never once did Zelensky suggest any desire to come to an agreement with Russia, he always appeared willing to fight to the last Ukrainian. However, the western world is now VERY rapidly diminishing in its ability or willingness to supply anything more that the regime demands. In fact it appears clear that nothing of substance will any more be sent to Ukraine and that there will be no permission for missiles to hit deep into Russia. Ukraine will NOT be granted access to NATO membership as the ‘Victory Plan’ demands.

Zelensky is to be left high and dry. And when this becomes totally clear to him then his side of the blame game will begin to hit back in earnest. The USA, nor its allies gave Ukraine what it needed to win. Zelensky will speak in harsh terms of how he pleaded for the weapons, finances and support required to win and was met with a paltry response. He will assert that the western powers failed to recognise the full importance of helping Ukraine face down the Russians and he will invite them to contemplate their own fate at Russia’s hands having done so.

We will no doubt see the fakery surrounding the usual theater of the absurd continue for a while yet whereby both the western powers and the Zelensky regime talk pie in the sky while that sky increasingly falls down upon them. Neither appears willing to face oncoming reality just yet. Too much is at stake for them personally if they do. Meanwhile Ukrainian troops die in their droves.

The politicians on either side are doing their level best to save their own necks while the abominable suffering drags ever on. No talks. No concessions. More deaths. More territory taken. But the demanded heroic status of Zelensky will be asserted and retained till the end with ultimately a finger pointing at the deceivers and foot-draggers of the West who let his country down.

In the USA and across the western world we will hear a very different refrain however, one that talks of Ukrainian officials providing “inaccurate information”, officials who talked up victories that had no reality but that were conjured up only in their own minds. Zelensky will be increasingly talked of as an extremely delusional individual who was never able to confront reality and who was ultimately a very bad partner of the West. All the fine words spoken of him at the height of the conflict when it seemed possible to weaken Russia will be forgotten. As will most of what was done to prop him up. Project Ukraine will end. Silence on the topic will prevail while Project Taiwan to weaken China “coincidentally” goes into top gear.


Friday, 18 October 2024

THE FAKE UKRAINE WAR OF LYING NEWS MEDIA, WISHFUL THINKERS & RABID WARMONGERS

Two Ukraine wars are being waged. One on the battlefronts where Russia is winning a war of attrition. And one on western media where Russia is apparently being annihilated.

Even as Zelensky is forced to flee and the Ukrainian army is in full retreat you can be sure that the commentators across western mainstream media used to provide their “expertise” will be saying Russia is losing the war. Such is the degree of wishful thinking and Ukraine-positive material that issues from these sources and those like them. This is as a result of the restrictions that a ‘war mode’ environment places on all those commenting on the situation in Ukraine in the western mainstream. 

No statement can be made that portrays Russia in anything remotely resembling a positive light. Russia must always be losing all of the time and always be depicted in an evil light. Conversely all statements concerning the Kiev regime and its military must be positive at all times. This environment of partial blindness is due in the main to self-censorship rather than overt censorship. 

This is how it undoubtedly how this system works:

As Noam Chomsky once pointed out to BBC journalist Andrew Marr it’s not as if overt censorship is taking place, it’s simply that if his mindset was any different he would not be sitting where he is now, he would have failed the interview or been sacked long before. Only those with the “correct” attitudes and viewpoints are allowed to enter the ranks of the established news entities of the West. Similarly, those “experts” who are regularly called upon to voice their views on Russia and Ukraine are well known to the BBC/CNN editors whose task is to select the “right” people to expound on these subjects. Hence we receive the “wisdom” of these experts whose opinions have been thoroughly vetted beforehand. They need not necessarily be seeking to deceive, all that is necessary is that they know their general view and that they can rely on the “correct” views being expressed.

As to the great many relentlessly pro-Ukrainian, anti-Russian YouTubers, they are without doubt a mixed bag of either avid wishful-thinkers, congenital Russia haters, those who have swallowed previous state and media anti-Russian campaigns and without question a good seasoning of western intelligence agency sock puppets. It is here more than in any other source you will find the endless bigging up of the Ukrainian regime and all its doings, the tremendous successes of the Ukrainian military in destroying this, that and the other Russian military asset. Their determination to condemn Russia, laugh at Russia and Russians and generally maximize the morale of the whole anti-Russia, pro-Ukraine industry and all who work within it, is obvious. In the tasks above they receive enormous help from Google and virtually all other search engines who use algrithms which are arranged to search for and provide only pro-Ukrainian articles, videos and links no matter the word combination searched for.

In addition to all of the above we have the anti-Putin, anti-Russia articles appearing constantly in the western press. It cannot be so confidently said that a relatively innocent process is underway as may be the case in respect of tame academics, retired military men and so forth. These latter no doubt hold the views they express in all sincerity. They are merely being used as tame media animals by their media handlers. Newspaper editors know exactly what they are doing and the lies thy are having their “journalists” tell. These “journalists” can be relied upon to reflect the anti-Russian, pro-Ukrainian views required. It is certain also that just in previous times when the CIA’s ‘Operation Mockingbird’ was in action there is no doubt still today considerable “assistance” in the content and composition of many newspaper and magazine articles by western intelligence agencies.

Operation Mockingbird, the most famous fake news operation of all time attempted to infiltrate every major media organization across the United States. No doubt there were also British, German, French, Italian equivalents along with all other nations within the western orbit. The goal was to have every issuance of news reflect western state narratives so as to assist western state foreign policy goals and agendas. During this time the stream of fake news was created to condition western views concerning the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact, but we can be sure that the same techniques used then still operate to this day, aimed now at Russia, China and any other states the western powers conceive to be valid targets. Adding to this effort and closely aligned with it is the whole area of psychological operations (PSYOPS).

PsyOps teams deal with every form of subterfuge that can be used as a weapon against whatever enemies as designated by western state agencies. Counterfeit documents and fake stories are two of Psyop mainstays. Sometimes authors known to be sympathetic to the cause (whatever that might be, though always to boost western goals) are used. In this case no coaching is required except perhaps to suggest an area of concern and then let the individual have at it. In other cases in-house CIA members specifically employed within the organization write the required articles. The articles from both sources are then seeded within nations far from their source of writing. The intention is of course to disguise their origin and thus make them more convincing as they appear to merit genuine belief due to emerging from sources not immediately identified with their originators.

The net aim and effect of all of the above is to thoroughly condition mass western perceptions and viewpoints, molding them to the wartime needs of the coalition of western states waging their proxy war against Russia, using Ukraine as a tool. 

The truth shall set you free they say. Freeing oneself from all mainstream news inputs is the vital starting point of this process. Then… finding those with no particular dog in the Ukraine race online, those with an honest intent to report what is happening on the front lines as accurately as they can, rather than reflect what is occurring in the minds of western political elites.



Thursday, 17 October 2024

WHEN, HOW AND WHY DID THE WAR IN UKRAINE TRULY BEGIN?

Many have no time to digest information in depth & are inclined to use TV news as their primary source of information. However, when western interests are involved, this source will rarely remain unbiased.

If westerners rely on western mainstream media news broadcasters such as the BBC, CNN or others, or western political spokespersons for their news. they could easily imagine that the Ukraine war began on February 24th 2022. This because western broadcasters and politicians wish to communicate one particular piece of fake news, that Russia’s intervention in Ukraine was completely unprovoked.

In essence what is going on now, and has been going on since 2014 is the denial by an illegal regime in Kiev (with the support of the West) of the ability of the Russian-speaking population in eastern Ukraine to live in peace with full democratic rights, able to self-govern with federalized status, having a high degree of cultural, social and material security.

Underpinning all of the above and perpetually fueling this injustice is the overarching desire of western elites to weaken those powers which threaten their long-held global domination, Russia, along with China, being a primary target.

So. How did this all begin?

And what were the tragic milestones that brought us here to the brink of an all-out nuclear war?_________________________________________________________________________________

In 2014 a violent insurrection took place in Ukraine’s capital Kiev. The overthrowing of the democratically and constitutionally legitimate president and government of Ukraine brought into power a president and government vetted beforehand by the West, and in particular by the U.S.A. (In reference to this please listen to the leaked phone call between U.S. Ambassador in Kiev at the time, Geoffrey Pyatt and Assistant Secretary of State, Victoria Nuland.) This in the context of fears by U.S. and western elites that global western power and influence was declining due to the rise of nations within Eurasia and the Far East.

Recorded conversation between Asst. Sec. of State Victoria Nuland and Amb. Geoffrey Pyatt.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JoW75J5bnnE

________________________________________________________________________________

The Maidan insurrection was characterized by months of rioting, arson and innumerable violent assaults on Ukrainian police and security forces. Around seventeen police officers lost their lives at the hands of the rioters. As these events were taking place, with the burning down of government buildings, the use of Molotov Cocktails, handguns and hunting rifles as well as clubs, heavy chains, toxic sprays and even a forklift truck against lightly armed police and security personnel, western politicians and officials supported the ultraviolet insurrectionists 100%, constantly urging them on.

The attempts by the western powers and the USA in particular, to bring down presidents and governments in Ukraine, had been ongoing for many years before the Maidan insurrection. In 2008 at the NATO conference in Bucharest it was stated that both Ukraine and Georgia would at some future date join the NATO alliance. Approximately $5 billion dollars were spent since that time to the successful insurrection in 2014 to facilitate the movement of Ukraine from the Russian to the Western sphere of influence. This is the inherent cause of all that has followed.

The fact that the vast majority of people living in the east of Ukraine including the Crimean peninsula had consistently voted for presidents and governments that favored good relations with Russia, who spoke Russian and annually celebrated their liberation from the Nazis in WWII was clearly completely ignored as irrelevant concerning western plans for Ukraine as a whole. The most virulent, nationalistic section of the Ukrainian population in western Ukraine held the Nazis to have been a liberating force against the Russians. It was this grouping that took over the protesters in Kiev’s Maidan square who had been protesting peacefully until their arrival. It was they that ultimately, through their maximum use of violence, supported fully by the western powers, that eventually brought democratic Ukraine down to the level we have seen since.

As soon as the illegal administration of Ukraine took over in 2014 it began to pass laws banning the use of the Russian language across Ukraine and to proscribe the political parties that had held power previously, later jailing at least one of their leaders, Viktor Medvedchuk. Ukrainian Radio and television stations where the Russian language was used were ordered to close. The Russian Orthodox church had its assets and churches seized with the creation of a Ukrainian church designed to replace it. (This is the so-called democratic state that western state and media propaganda continue to talk of.)

In effect, the takeover of power in Ukraine by pro-western, US-approved politicians, completely removed any hope in Russian-speaking eastern Ukraine that their democratic rights would be preserved in future elections. It was without doubt crystal clear to them that unless they did something to reverse the process they would not only be left without any democratic rights they would also be stripped of their right to use the language of their birth, Russian. Not only this, it was also without doubt also clear that they would henceforth be seen as traitors and, in German, ‘Untermenschen’, non-people, an unwanted underclass, second-class citizens in their own land. 

The intolerable situation above was underpinned by the large percentage of those in western Ukraine who avowed allegiance to the memory of the Nazis and their ‘Operation Barbarossa’ against Russia. These are those who gloried in having Nazi symbols including the swastika tattooed upon their bodies. These symbols were also used, or symbols almost identical to them by one of the political parties favored by the western powers who had sought the overthrow of successive Ukrainian presidents and governments since at least 2008. The people of Crimea and eastern Ukraine knew these people and their intentions toward them very well. They had seen the rioting in their capital on their TV screens nightly for months and previous to this they had seen them in torch lit parades of thousands in western Ukraine cities such as Lviv.

In the West the almost universally peaceful rising up of the Russian-speaking population in eastern Ukraine against the takeover they had witnessed in their capital was portrayed in a very negative light compared with the generally very positive way the insurrection in Kiev had been. Western news media fell directly in line with western state interests in this respect and so it has been ever since in respect of all subsequent events in Ukraine. Knowing just a few of the actual facts concerning why the people of eastern Ukraine rose up in a display of people power dispels any notion that these events were as simple as portrayed in the West by news media and politicians alike.

In response to the peaceful demonstration of people power (the people in the Donbass region of eastern Ukraine took over administration there and sought to have autonomy within Ukraine to preserve their rights, freedom of affiliation and values) the new regime in Kiev sent the Ukrainian military east. This decision to send a military force, rather than engage in negotiations signaled anything but good for the Donbass region and Ukraine as a whole. Initially the people of the Donbass had only gathered on the road standing in front of the tanks sent to intimidate them. They attempted to talk to the tank commanders and persuade them to return to their bases in western Ukraine. Inevitably, before long with Ukrainian troops setting up roadblocks and checkpoints violent incidents began to occur. This is where all that occurred subsequently had its genesis.

While the Ukrainian army increased its presence and attempted to intimidate the people of the Donbass into accepting their new status as de facto enemies of the new Ukrainian regime, the politicians in Kiev began calling them terrorists. As the days and weeks of violence by the Ukrainian army increased, supplemented by the modern day Nazis who had brought down the president and government in Kiev, more and more civilians began to die. As this continued the new authorities in the newly setup republics of Donetsk and Lugansk put together a self-defense force. Many veterans of the Russian army arrived in due course to supplement their ranks. The merciless pounding of Donbass apartment blocks, schools, hospitals, kindergartens, village, town and city town centers in the years 2014 and 2015 by the Ukrainian army and its extremist militias was a constant. This resulted in the increased development of the self-defense forces within the Donbass. By mid-2015 these forces were strong enough to start defeating Kiev’s forces within the Donbass.

The increasing number of defeats suffered by the Ukrainian army in 2015 and in particular a large number of its forces being caught in a pocket around the town of Debaltsevo brought the western powers in the name of Angela Merkel to Vladimir Putin’s door to plead for a halt to this situation. Thus began the talks between the Russians, the Ukrainians and the leaders of Germany and France that became known as the Minsk Accords or Minsk Agreements.These were meant to find a pathway to peace and reconciliation between the people of the Donbass and the Kiev regime. The aim was to provide a framework for peace whereby the Russian-speaking population of the Donbass would have a high degree of autonomy as they wished and that subsequently the government in Kiev would once more regain control of Ukraine’s borders in the east. All the required agreements were signed off on to achieve this. These were then ratified by the United Nations. However, the Kiev regime failed to bring any of its promises into being.

For over six years, from 2015 to 2021, meetings to try to implement the Minsk Agreements took place. Ultimately however, in late 2021 Zelensky stated that he was no longer going to take the agreements seriously. Some time after both Angela Merkel and Petro Poroshenko (who had been Ukraine’s illegal president in 2015 when the Minsk talks began) said that the talks and subsequent agreement had been a sham, only engaged in by them to allow the Kiev regime to re-arm its army to NATO standards. They had succeeded in stalling Russia in its attempts to assist the people of the Donbass in establishing their right to freedom from the murderous onslaught from Kiev. So it was that it was made plain to the Russians that Minsk was dead and that there never had been any sincere with by the Ukrainian regime or the western powers to reestablish peace or to find a way toward reconciliation.

While this knowledge was being digested as to its future significance in Moscow Zelensky began talking of reestablishing Ukraine’s nuclear status. NATO continued to state that Ukraine had every right to join NATO. Russia’s pleas to negotiate a new security architecture in Europe including Russia fell on deaf ears at this time along with a separate plea to the U.S. president to find a way to establish peace in the region. Then, just at this point in late January, early february 2021 a significant uptick in Ukrainian missile and mortar attacks on the Donbass population began. This is noted precisely in the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) reports of the time. (The OSCE had been engaged in detailed monitoring events in the Donbass since 2015.) In addition documents were discovered that indicated the Ukrainian military was planning a large attack upon the Donbass region.)

In light of all of the above and in particular the increased shelling by the Ukrainian army and revelation that a massive attack upon them was planned the two republics of Donetsk and Lugansk appealed to the Russian Federation for help. (In 2014 they had asked Russia to incorporate them into the Russian Federation. This had been refused with a reiteration that they should remain within Ukraine but that Russia would seek, through diplomatic means, to persuade the Ukrainian regime to give them federalized status whereby they would be guaranteed security via a high degree of autonomy). However, by early 2021 it was clear that there was no hope whatsoever that Kiev would countenance anything of the kind and that instead it was intent on resolving everything in their favor by military means.

So it was that, with no good options remaining for Russia, a relatively small number of Russian troops and military vehicles crossed the Russian-Ukraine border on 24th February 2021 seeking to pressure the Zelensky regime into implementing the Minsk Accords. A few weeks later with Russian troops in position around Kiev and other areas within Ukraine Russia called for talks to work out a peace plan whereby Ukraine would remain a neutral, non-NATO state and that all hostilities would cease. Substantial progress was made in the subsequent negotiations, once again in Minsk and later in Istanbul. Such progress was made (with Ukrainian officials surprised at how modest Russia’s requirements were) that a draft document of the progress that had been made in the hope of a full agreement to be agreed later was initialed by all parties. It was subsequent to this extremely hopeful development that the tragic path we are now on began.

In response to Ukraine’s willingness to engage in peace talks Russia removed its troops from their locations around Kiev. Very shortly thereafter Boris Johnson, then Prime Minister of Britain, arrived in Kiev. This fateful visit set in motion the all that we have subsequently seen with the deaths of hundreds of thousands and the total destruction of all trust between the warring sides. With his visit where he clearly promised Ukraine massive financial and military support for the Ukrainian regime if it abandoned the peace process and instead continued its pursuit of a military solution against Russia. Though there have been many milestones along the way that led to this continuing tragedy of war, the visit of Boris Johnson, carrying the joint message of all western powers, is surely the most crucial and reprehensible of all, marking as it did the beginning of the most horrendous loss of life since the end of World War Two.


Wednesday, 16 October 2024

HOW WILL WESTERN ELITES REACT TO THE END OF THE UKRAINE WAR?

The Ukraine war is the result of a plan devised by the western powers to weaken Russia. This was deemed a vital first step in stemming the clear, ongoing decline of western power & influence.

The final verdict on the Russo-Ukrainian war will undoubtedly be that it came about as a result of an agreed plan by all western powers to weaken Russia. This was deemed a vital necessity due to the rise of nations such as Russia and China who disagreed with the idea of western hegemony. The need by western elites to stem the decline of western power and influence globally has brought about a catastrophe for the Ukrainian people, and a catastrophe that will affect Europe for a generation.

The denial of all off ramps to Russia in the leadup to the conflict in Ukraine provides the most obvious sign of western intent. It is clear that there was no way the western allies were going to let Russia off the Ukrainian hook. Any normal approach would have resulted in some form of agreement whereby Russia's issues with Ukraine would have been resolved diplomatically. After all, what Russia wanted was not much of an ask, that the Russian-speaking majority in the Donbass region of Ukraine be given sufficient autonomy so that they would feel secure, that Ukraine would not join NATO. 

Those above were the two primary concerns Russia had in respect of Ukraine. Russia had previously denied the request of the two breakaway republics to join the Russian Federation. Putin saw the federalisation of the region as the best way forward and worked for seven years via Minsk to see the peaceful end to the situation. It is clear however that the western allies never had any intention of letting this diplomatic route come to any peaceful conclusion.

Historians will lambast the western political elites who ultimately cost Ukraine so much, including up to one million dead/wounded. Will we see any contrition by those elites? We are extremely unlikely to see the kind of contrition Obama showed regarding the NATO assault upon Libya and its aftermath. The present leaders of the West, those who have endlessly doubled down on pushing the war forward with all the dire consequences now being recognised, appear totally averse to such honesty.

What we are likely to see now is much more grasping at straws from western political elites and mass media alike as Russia's victory steadily approaches. They will be unable to face reality. That reality is simply so objectionable to them that they will be forced into a series of ever more grotesque fantasies where somehow the Ukrainian regime (and therefore the West) has won. The most likely of these fantasies, the one they hope will gain most traction via a highly contorted and visibly distorted version of events.

The political and media elites of the western world will inevitably claim that Russia sought to occupy the entirety of Ukraine and were frustrated in that ambition by a combination of Ukrainian bravery and robust western support of Ukraine. This will be the most likely meme through which they will seek to put a protective PR spin on the disaster they have presided over and in fact generated from the get go. They will attempt (and no doubt in the West) succeed in clouding the reality of the Project Ukraine debacle and escape all responsibility for it.

It appears that this inability of both legacy media and the politicians of the West to confront the hard reality of the situation will continue right up to the bitter end. That bitter end for them where Russia completes its special military operation in a recognised victory (to most of the world outside the West). 

After the PR onslaught by western leaders concerning how they “defeated Russian ambitions” and “denied Russia its goal” we will see news of Ukraine quite rapidly exit the news media. All western mass media will then switch off after a few days reporting western state assertions of victory, some few recriminations by other more honest commentators and a general and quite obvious desire to hide the whole thing under the bloody rug they created. Ukraine will then be abandoned by the media to stew in its toxic juice. 

After a few weeks or months pass by there will be a mere trickle of reports consigned to various back pages of the print news media on the tortuous rebuilding efforts the EU is making in Ukraine. Apart from these the entirety of the conflict will be consigned to the same memory hole as Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria and Libya. Historians will write books hopefully providing a realistic portrayal of events… that relatively few will read. On the internet, those who have been engendering far more factual analyses will make their concluding and highly scathing remarks on western guilt. 

Meanwhile, the entire panoply of western political and media interest will divert their full concentration on fomenting their next war, focusing what remains of their combined fire power just as hubris-consumed as ever, on China.


Sunday, 13 October 2024

THE GEOPOLITICAL & ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS OF OUR WORLD ARE ABOUT TO CHANGE

Largely unreported in the West, the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia will be discussing new ways for the world to work, ways allowing escape from domination by the USA and its allies.

This month, in Kazan, Russia and the other BRICS nations are gathering to agree on a path forward that will establish a new financial trading and money transfer system. When this system is up and operating the group will by its use escape the domination of the U.S. dollar. Currently, through the U.S. dollar western elites are able to blackmail nations into doing their bidding. The power of the U.S. dollar stems from its use as the default trading currency, accounting for the vast majority of trades worldwide. By threatening sanctions linked to the U.S. dollar western elites currently have a chokehold on much of the world. Now, via BRICS cooperation those nations can be set free.

Alongside the above development we will see outright victory for Russia in its conflict with the Ukrainian regime. Due to Russia having to fight virtually the entire collective west this victory will have enormous global implications. The victory against the Kiev regime and its backers across the West will not be merely in terms of its military prowess however. Russia has fought off and defeated the entire western economic and financial attack upon it emerging stronger with an economy more robust than ever. This while economies in Europe are in steep decline due to the very sanctions they sought to impose upon Russia which have backfired badly against them.

For all our lifetimes the western world with its domination globally has set the framework for the world generally. This domination is about to end. Already in decline due to massive debts, growing military impotency the ever-increasing shrinkage of their economic, political and strategic reach, the western elites have exhibited a parallel desperation and willingness to use ever-more panic-driven methods. These methods, employed to shore up the declining power and influence of the West are instead having the opposite effect.

The nations of the global majority, those outside the western orbit of direct influence, have for years been seeking an escape route that would allow them to emerge from the manipulative control of the West. With the economic rise of China after the reforms of Deng Xiaoping, and the economic resurrection of Russia brought about by Vladimir Putin a new pole of major economic influence rapidly emerged in the east. To this pole more and more nations have graduated over the years with the most major developments in this respect occurring over the previous few years. Recent years have seen both Iran and Saudi Arabia join BRICS. For many years these nations were sworn enemies. Now they cooperate on friendly terms in a relationship where economic and other areas are certain to flow from their BRICS membership.

The USA and its proxy powers in Europe along with those in the southern hemisphere such as Australia and New Zealand will soon no longer be able to rely on economic muscle to preserve their long-held domination. Their grip has been weakening for decades and now that grip will be seen to slacken to the point where it will be totally released. The impact of this change in the geopolitical fundamentals of our world cannot possibly be overestimated, it will be huge and massively transformative. Nothing will ever be quite the same again. Apart from transforming the economic fundamentals of our world we will see the geopolitical fundamentals underpinning the West’s grip over us wither and die. When the alternative arrangements now being set in place within BRICS and other Eurasian institutions come into full effect, there will be no more economic, military or political leeway for the kind of interference by the West we have seen in recent years. It will in effect find itself quarantined, unable to interfere, threaten, invade or cajole nations into doing its bidding.

With Russia’s imminent victory in Ukraine, having bested the collective power of the western world, along with its chairmanship this month in Kazan where fundamental financial and economic changes will be agreed to global norms, we can clearly recognise in which direction power is flowing. Russia and China, having prevailed against an ever-aggressive western political elite, will now build a global platform where peace not war is the norm, where, within an atmosphere of cooperation and tolerance toward diverse systems of governance bridges between nations will be built, not burned. Setbacks there will be to this project, mistakes will be made from time to time, but the goals sought, of freedom from western domination and a multipolar world where peace not war is the rule will certainly be attained. The idea of continuing with a world at war due to western elites demanding all others conform to the West’s needs, comply with its demands and are forced to recognise its permanent hegemony is too awful any longer to contemplate.

Therefore, despite the efforts of western political and media elites to downplay the extent of Russia’s victory against them and their Kiev clients and the importance of the BRICS summit in Kazan later this month, the flow of fundamental, historical changes into the future is now clearly unstoppable. Happily for the world and luckily for the elites of the USA and its proxy nations the powers that will now increasingly wrest power from them are benign and will not seek to replicate their own aggressively self-interested and jealous stance regarding power and spheres of influence. This will be a new world that will not reflect the polarised, colonialist past where one region of the world insists it is superior to all others and of such an exceptional nature that fully justify its demands, insisting on compliance of all others to its will. This kind of arrogance is about to disappear forever. This new reality remains a few years distant as of now, perhaps a decade or more of a rapidly dwindling western power remains, but that new world is very definitely on its way.

THE GEOPOLITICAL & ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS OF OUR WORLD ARE ABOUT TO CHANGE


Friday, 11 October 2024

THE FAILURE OF ITS KURSK INCURSION WILL MARK THE END OF THE KIEV REGIME

In 1943 the Red Army threw everything they had at the Nazi hordes infecting the Kursk region with their presence, and won. At this moment Russian troops are completing the same task.

Whereas the Russian military is guided by the policy of moving forward carefully and strategically, the Ukrainian military, from whoever it is advised, has from the start sought PR advantages that end up being of only temporary value.

Since it became clear that Russia would remain unbowed and economically strong despite the efforts of the collective west to weaken it, the Ukrainian regime has been reduced to two tactics, now seen to be failing.

  1. To rely on the combined financial power, political influence and military supplies of the collective west.
  2. Due to its own weakness in terms of the above factors it has engaged in PR stunts which are now seen to have had no significant effect on eventual outcomes.

Choosing the Kursk region of Russia for its incursion, complemented (according to numerous reports) by a great many mercenaries sent by NATO countries (and most likely from within the ranks of NATO forces) was a very poor one for the following reason:

The Kursk region of Russia was the location of the greatest battle of the Second World War, or Great Patriotic War as it is known in Russia. It was in this region in 1943 that through dint of incredible sacrifice that the Red Army drove back Hitler’s Nazis and thereafter moved 1,000 km west to eventually stand at the gates of Berlin, signaling the complete defeat of the Nazis. At a cost of some one million three hundred thousand Red Army soldiers Kursk was arguably the greatest victory of the Second World War and a victory all Russia knows of and celebrates to this day.

Choosing the Kursk region to invade Russia by the Kiev regime you will see resonated across the Russian Federation with the message that once again barbarians from the West had invaded their land. British, American and Polish voices have been heard on radio transmissions and video within the region and without doubt tanks supplied by Germany with some of the same symbols used by the Nazis in Operation Barbarossa were present also. It is clear that whatever it was going to take, Russia would drive the Ukrainian (and European) barbarians out of Kursk just as they had those of the Nazis in 1943.

Once again, a reflection of Russia’s great victory in Kursk in 1943 and its subsequent final defeat of the Nazis in Berlin we can see that little now stands in the way of the modern Russian army storming all the way to the Dnieper River, and beyond should it wish to. It is very likely that in the next few weeks and months we will see the Russian army completely overwhelming the Ukrainians, not only in Kursk but across the Ukrainian border in the Sumy region. An offensive to push to the furthest limits of Sumy is on the cards. Meanwhile Russia advances on every single other point of contact within the Donbass.

Little now will hinder the Russian military in its quest to accomplish the goals of the Special Military Operation as set out by Vladimir Putin in February of 2022. Ukraine will be demilitarized and denazified. Ukraine will forever remain a neutral state and never join NATO. The Russian-speaking majority in the Donbass will have all their rights fully respected. Adding to these accomplishments it is quite obvious at this stage that Ukraine will, in relatively short order, have a new president and government. Russia will have defeat the modern day Nazis that not only infest western Ukraine but all those who have avidly supported them across the entire western world.


UKRAINE: ITS RECENT HISTORY, CURRENT REALITY & CONCLUSION

The Ukraine war is reaching a critical stage. Crucial aspects of western narratives are now being questioned. The reality is at last being d...